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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

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GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor
Latin America register

Ecuador · CHIMBORAZO

GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Election expectation2026-11-29
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 39.9/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 1.3 points; earlier interval 18.0 points; two-interval mean 9.6 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Ordinary election register

Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 6 / 200.

The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 38,564 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-02-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGOOSWALDO ESTRADA9,36633.22%1
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICAGUILLERMO LEMA YANZA5,35619.00%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIORAUL VINICIO CABRERA ESCOBAR4,95317.57%0
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAYALFONSO VILLARROEL4,91817.44%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKDARWIN VIZUETE1,5805.60%0
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANOMARCELO MORENO DACTO8783.11%0
ALIANZA 5-16EVELYN LEMA3471.23%0
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADESMEDARDO ESTRADA PANCHO2310.82%0
VECINOS EN ACCIÓNOSWALDO FABIAN DOMINGUEZ2220.79%0
SERGONZALO ALARCON VIZUETE1800.64%0
FRENTE AMPLIOMEDARDO MALDONADO ORTEGA1640.58%0

Result source · Seat source

2019-03-24 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDADRAUL CABRERA9,07932.22%1
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)OSWALDO ESTRADA8,20929.14%0
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAYMIGUEL ANGEL ACAN LLUAY5,80420.60%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKMIGUEL AYALA1,4515.15%0
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR GUANOEDGAR ALARCON PANCHO8943.17%0
ALIANZA GUANO SE TRANSORMAMANUEL ALBERTO BARRENO AYALA8142.89%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIOGERARDO MARTINEZ6612.35%0
MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNESKELLY GAROFALO YUNDA5391.91%0
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEPJULIO VIZUETE4431.57%0
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTELUIS PADILLA2811.00%0

Result source · Seat source

2014-02-23 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZOESTRADA AVILES OSWALDO VINICIO11,09943.65%1
PARTIDO AVANZAALARCON PANCHO EDGAR EDUARDO4,57517.99%0
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"JARAMILLO GONZALEZ JORGE ANTONIO3,99115.70%0
MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAYACAN LLUAY MIGUEL ANGEL3,76314.80%0
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIOSILVA SILVA WASHINGTON ANTONIO1,1154.39%0
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICOSAMPEDRO BARRAGAN AUGUSTO EDISON5312.09%0
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONALSOLORZANO AVILES FAUSTO EDUARDO3521.38%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-M-6-200.