Office briefing
GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · GUANO / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · MayorEC-M-6-200
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- GUANO / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-47d6afe4af056eaae8edf740
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO33.2%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA19.0%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO17.6%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY17.4%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO3.1%
- ALIANZA 5-161.2%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES0.8%
- VECINOS EN ACCIÓN0.8%
- SER0.6%
- FRENTE AMPLIO0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · OSWALDO ESTRADA | 1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 9,366 | 33.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · GUILLERMO LEMA YANZA | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 5,356 | 19% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · RAUL VINICIO CABRERA ESCOBAR | 123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,953 | 17.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY · ALFONSO VILLARROEL | 16ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,918 | 17.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · DARWIN VIZUETE | 7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,580 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · MARCELO MORENO DACTO | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 878 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA 5-16 · EVELYN LEMA | 1315ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 347 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · MEDARDO ESTRADA PANCHO | 99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 231 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VECINOS EN ACCIÓN · OSWALDO FABIAN DOMINGUEZ | 1291ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 222 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SER · GONZALO ALARCON VIZUETE | 1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 180 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE AMPLIO · MEDARDO MALDONADO ORTEGA | 1068ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 164 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD32.2%
- MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)29.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY20.6%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5.1%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR GUANO3.2%
- ALIANZA GUANO SE TRANSORMA2.9%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO2.3%
- MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES1.9%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.6%
- PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · RAUL CABRERA | 577ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 9,079 | 32.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · OSWALDO ESTRADA | 206ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 8,209 | 29.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO AMAUTA YUYAY · MIGUEL ANGEL ACAN LLUAY | 15ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 5,804 | 20.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MIGUEL AYALA | 12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,451 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR GUANO · EDGAR ALARCON PANCHO | 728ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 894 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA GUANO SE TRANSORMA · MANUEL ALBERTO BARRENO AYALA | 687ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 814 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · GERARDO MARTINEZ | 144ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 661 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES · KELLY GAROFALO YUNDA | 247ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 539 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · JULIO VIZUETE | 235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 443 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · LUIS PADILLA | 158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 281 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO43.7%
- PARTIDO AVANZA18.0%
- ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"15.7%
- MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY14.8%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO4.4%
- PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.1%
- PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · ESTRADA AVILES OSWALDO VINICIO | 6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 11,099 | 43.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · ALARCON PANCHO EDGAR EDUARDO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 4,575 | 18% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO" · JARAMILLO GONZALEZ JORGE ANTONIO | 6005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,991 | 15.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY · ACAN LLUAY MIGUEL ANGEL | 6002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 3,763 | 14.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO · SILVA SILVA WASHINGTON ANTONIO | 6011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,115 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · SAMPEDRO BARRAGAN AUGUSTO EDISON | 2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 531 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · SOLORZANO AVILES FAUSTO EDUARDO | 9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 352 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI39.870–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.222379854584148, oldest_gap=25.65877448281287, previous_gap=3.0878438331854525
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility1.27percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,5.603830466394751,0.8192942010994857,0,0,93.57687533250575],[0,0,5.149955634427684,0,0,0,94.85004436557233],[0,17.993392590261937,0,0,0,0,82.00660740973807]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility17.99percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,5.603830466394751,0.8192942010994857,0,0,93.57687533250575],[0,0,5.149955634427684,0,0,0,94.85004436557233],[0,17.993392590261937,0,0,0,0,82.00660740973807]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.63percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,5.603830466394751,0.8192942010994857,0,0,93.57687533250575],[0,0,5.149955634427684,0,0,0,94.85004436557233],[0,17.993392590261937,0,0,0,0,82.00660740973807]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 38,564 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 200,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 6,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 38564,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-6-200",
"name": "GUANO / CHIMBORAZO",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
729,
730,
731,
732,
733,
734,
735,
736,
737,
738,
739,
826,
833,
845,
857,
858,
859,
860
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “GUANO / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-6-200. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.