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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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MIRA / CARCHI — Mayor

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MIRA / CARCHI — Mayor
Latin America register

Ecuador · CARCHI

MIRA / CARCHI — Mayor

The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Election expectation2026-11-29
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 42.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 20.9 points; earlier interval — points; two-interval mean — points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Ordinary election register

Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 4 / 20.

The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 12,274 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-02-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO SOCIAL CONSERVADOR DEL CARCHI LISTA 63- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTA 20FAUSTO RUIZ QUINTEROS3,75739.50%1
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRATICA MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIAJOHNNY GARRIDO2,47225.99%0
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADESPAOLA ORTEGA1,85319.48%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANAPLUTARCO VIVEROS6486.81%0
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICOCESAR SALAZAR2622.75%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKDIEGO JIMENEZ BORJA2422.54%0
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION Y UNIDAD MIREÑAWALTER VILLEGAS2372.49%0
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETOELIANA CASTILLO CHAMORRO400.42%0

Result source · Seat source

2019-03-24 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICAJOHNNY GARRIDO PULE3,41037.83%1
ALIANZA MSC CONSERVADORES LISTA 63 -PSC LISTA 6FAUSTO RUIZ2,41126.74%0
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANAANGEL CHALA OGONAGA1,88120.87%0
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION Y UNIDAD MIREÑAWALTER VILLEGAS GUARDADO1,06311.79%0
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍEDGAR PALACIOS1321.46%0
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADESOSCAR EFREN MUÑOZ1181.31%0

Result source · Seat source

2014-02-23 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DEMOCRATICA DEL CARCHI, LISTAS 65 Y PARTIDO POLITICO AVANZA, LISTAS 8VILLEGAS GUARDADO WALTER DE JESUS3,29941.56%1
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS-MOVIMIENTO LIDERA CARCHIRUIZ QUINTEROS FAUSTO ISIDRO3,17239.96%0
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACIÓN Y UNIDAD MIREÑAPONCE TAPIA LUIS EFRAIN1,46718.48%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-M-4-20.