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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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LA LIBERTAD / SANTA ELENA — Mayor

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LA LIBERTAD / SANTA ELENA — Mayor
Latin America register

Ecuador · SANTA ELENA

LA LIBERTAD / SANTA ELENA — Mayor

The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Election expectation2026-11-29
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 59.6/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 13.6 points; earlier interval 12.2 points; two-interval mean 12.9 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Ordinary election register

Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 24 / 965.

The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 88,007 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-02-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA ÚNETEFRANCISCO TAMARIZ22,12933.29%1
SOMOS ENCUENTRO POSITIVO 65-69-21VICTOR VALDIVIESO CORDOVA15,45223.25%0
REVOLUCION EN MARCHAMARCO CHANGO12,07218.16%0
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMAKAREN MEDINA CASTILLO4,3476.54%0
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA POR UN CANTON PROSPERO MECPELVIRA CANALES PROAÑO2,8144.23%0
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LIBERTADANTONIO ELIAS ESPINOZA INFANTE2,7454.13%0
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PIDISAAC BUENAVENTURA MORENO2,1143.18%0
ALIANZA EL PODER LO TIENE EL PUEBLOJOYCE PARRALES CAMPOVERDE1,6702.51%0
ALIANZA ID-FLCGABRIELA BONINI7711.16%0
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANOJOSE RAFAEL CASTAÑEDA MALES6741.01%0
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADESBENJAMIN AMILCAR ARCOS6600.99%0
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANOKENIA GUALE GUALE5840.88%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKEVA MIRANDA4400.66%0

Result source · Seat source

2019-03-24 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA 62 - 20VICTOR VALDIVIESO CORDOVA15,28724.57%1
ALIANZAPATRICIO CISNEROS14,32923.03%0
MOVIMIENTO AMPLIO RENOVADOR DE CIUDADANOS HUMANISTAS EN ACCION MARCHAMARCO CHANGO13,55221.78%0
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADESIPERTI ESPAÑA6,58710.59%0
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LIBERTADANTONIO ELIAS ESPINOZA INFANTE4,2626.85%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICA RENACER PENINSULARNARCISO MARCILLO2,4813.99%0
MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL ÚNETEFRANCISCO JARAMILLO1,0421.67%0
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANAGILBERTO DE LA ROSA CRUZ9981.60%0
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMAROLANDO GONZABAY FRANCO8491.36%0
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIALWILLIAM IÑIGUEZ6020.97%0
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZABETSY AJOY SEGARRA5950.96%0
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANOJUAN FRANCO BAQUE3840.62%0
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACIONPAUL RODRIGUEZ3390.54%0
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTEGERMAN JAVIER GONZALEZ3190.51%0
UNION ECUATORIANAALCIDES BORBOR TABOADA3020.49%0
FUERZA.ECNANCY CHALEN2860.46%0

Result source · Seat source

2014-02-23 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
CREO EN MIL LISTA 21 - 103ESPINOZA INFANTE ANTONIO ELIAS24,62543.27%1
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA NO. 35 Y MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE LISTA NO. 61CHANGO JACHO MARCO ANTONIO15,54027.31%0
MOVIMIENTO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANAYAGUAL BORBOR DALTON FABRISIO10,84519.06%0
MOVIMIENTO SUMATAMAYO TRIVIÑO JORGE FABRICIO2,9205.13%0
PARTIDO AVANZASOTOMAYOR ROSALES EDMUNDO2,4864.37%0
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANOCEVALLOS MORALES GONZALO SEGUNDO4890.86%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-M-24-965.