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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA — Mayor

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SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA — Mayor
Latin America register

Ecuador · SANTA ELENA

SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA — Mayor

The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Election expectation2026-11-29
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 54.2/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 7.2 points; earlier interval 4.1 points; two-interval mean 5.6 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Ordinary election register

Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 24 / 410.

The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 136,991 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-02-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
REVOLUCIÓN PENINSULARMARIA DEL CARMEN AQUINO31,93432.58%1
ALIANZA ÚNETE.SEANDRES AGUILAR21,84522.29%0
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMAGINO GONZALEZ BARZOLA21,27121.70%0
FRENTE RESCATE CIUDADANOGONZALO MENOSCAL ALDAS9,6829.88%0
ALIANZA ID-FLCDIONICIO GONZABAY9,5529.75%0
SOMOS ENCUENTRO POSITIVO 65-69-21MIREYA VELEZ ZAMORA1,5461.58%0
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANOJIMMY CANDELL RUBIRA1,4781.51%0
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANOFERNANDO ELVIS RODRIGUEZ6950.71%0

Result source · Seat source

2019-03-24 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTEOTTO VERA26,71029.80%1
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANAMARIA DEL CARMEN AQUINO21,48623.97%0
ALIANZA LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO LISTA 9 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD LISTA 106VICENTE PESANTES13,40414.95%0
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIALDAVID ENRIQUE LAINEZ CHECA5,3545.97%0
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADESFULTON EDULFO ANCHUNDIA4,5835.11%0
MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL PENINSULA POSITIVAMARY SANCHEZ3,3513.74%0
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍOSWALDO EDGAR ORRALA MUÑOZ3,0113.36%0
MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL ÚNETEJULIO ORRALA2,8163.14%0
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICALETICIA ROSALES VELARDE1,7771.98%0
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANAENRIQUE ROSALES ORTEGA1,5951.78%0
ALIANZA UNIDOS SOMOS UNOPAUL SOTO1,2481.39%0
UNIDAD POPULARDORIS ROJAS GAVILANEZ6740.75%0
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIALRONNY ALEXANDER REYES VERA5620.63%0
UNION ECUATORIANALUIS ALBERTO SUAREZ SUAREZ5600.62%0
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTEERWIN WILLIAM YAGUAL GONZALEZ5270.59%0
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZAEFRAIN REYES VILLAO5170.58%0
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANOPABLO JAVIER CEDEÑO ZAMBRANO4650.52%0
FUERZA.ECJUAN SEGUNDO REYES PITA3730.42%0
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACIONALBERTO AVELINO PANCHANA PALMA3440.38%0
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMAJORGE SALCEDO LECARO2830.32%0

Result source · Seat source

2014-02-23 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANAGONZABAY SALINAS DIONICIO ROMAN44,95152.57%1
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA NO. 35 Y MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE LISTA NO. 61VERA PALACIOS OTTO SANTIAGO34,46140.30%0
MOVIMIENTO CREODOMENECH BERNABE ROBINSON ANIBAL2,4032.81%0
PARTIDO AVANZAFERNANDEZ LEON DIANA MARIUXI2,1382.50%0
MOVIMIENTO SUMAMALAVE LINO LOURDES FLORENCIA1,1521.35%0
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANOSANTOS ARAGON ERWING MAXVELL4080.48%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-M-24-410.