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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA · municipal · MayorEC-M-24-410

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-4c7a74fe143bbfe8e1841349
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • REVOLUCIÓN PENINSULAR32.6%
  • ALIANZA ÚNETE.SE22.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA21.7%
  • FRENTE RESCATE CIUDADANO9.9%
  • ALIANZA ID-FLC9.7%
  • SOMOS ENCUENTRO POSITIVO 65-69-211.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.7%
Results for event-283fa128dd77883be6b91692
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
REVOLUCIÓN PENINSULAR · MARIA DEL CARMEN AQUINO1259ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202331,93432.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA ÚNETE.SE · ANDRES AGUILAR1301ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202321,84522.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · GINO GONZALEZ BARZOLA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202321,27121.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE RESCATE CIUDADANO · GONZALO MENOSCAL ALDAS1219ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,6829.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ID-FLC · DIONICIO GONZABAY1207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,5529.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS ENCUENTRO POSITIVO 65-69-21 · MIREYA VELEZ ZAMORA1146ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,5461.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · JIMMY CANDELL RUBIRA32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,4781.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · FERNANDO ELVIS RODRIGUEZ39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236950.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE29.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANA24.0%
  • ALIANZA LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO LISTA 9 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD LISTA 10615.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL6.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL PENINSULA POSITIVA3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ3.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL ÚNETE3.1%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA1.8%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS SOMOS UNO1.4%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.6%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.6%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.6%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA0.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
  • FUERZA.EC0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA0.3%
Results for event-8a46857215e00d875082e138
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE · OTTO VERA31ecuador/Sed7b513864/201926,71029.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANA · MARIA DEL CARMEN AQUINO36ecuador/Sed7b513864/201921,48624%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO LISTA 9 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD LISTA 106 · VICENTE PESANTES667ecuador/Sed7b513864/201913,40415%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · DAVID ENRIQUE LAINEZ CHECA148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,3546%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · FULTON EDULFO ANCHUNDIA22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,5835.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL PENINSULA POSITIVA · MARY SANCHEZ214ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,3513.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · OSWALDO EDGAR ORRALA MUÑOZ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193,0113.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PROVINCIAL ÚNETE · JULIO ORRALA201ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,8163.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · LETICIA ROSALES VELARDE152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,7772%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · ENRIQUE ROSALES ORTEGA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,5951.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS SOMOS UNO · PAUL SOTO772ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,2481.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · DORIS ROJAS GAVILANEZ143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196740.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · RONNY ALEXANDER REYES VERA170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195620.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · LUIS ALBERTO SUAREZ SUAREZ51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195600.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · ERWIN WILLIAM YAGUAL GONZALEZ158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195270.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA · EFRAIN REYES VILLAO25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195170.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · PABLO JAVIER CEDEÑO ZAMBRANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194650.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · JUAN SEGUNDO REYES PITA146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193730.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · ALBERTO AVELINO PANCHANA PALMA18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193440.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JORGE SALCEDO LECARO37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192830.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANA52.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA NO. 35 Y MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE LISTA NO. 6140.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.8%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA1.3%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.5%
Results for event-f2603cc0842843a6900217e0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO FRENTE DE LUCHA CIUDADANA · GONZABAY SALINAS DIONICIO ROMAN24003ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201444,95152.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAÍS LISTA NO. 35 Y MOVIMIENTO PENINSULAR CREYENDO EN NUESTRA GENTE LISTA NO. 61 · VERA PALACIOS OTTO SANTIAGO24011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201434,46140.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · DOMENECH BERNABE ROBINSON ANIBAL8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,4032.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · FERNANDEZ LEON DIANA MARIUXI6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,1382.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · MALAVE LINO LOURDES FLORENCIA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,1521.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · SANTOS ARAGON ERWING MAXVELL1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144080.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

54.240–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.294582818893296, oldest_gap=12.267140668670265, previous_gap=5.827755466309682

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.5081170984561698,0,0,0,0,0,98.49188290154382],[0,0,0,5.112672913877733,0.31570727353859884,1.7793395805444,92.79228023203927],[0,2.5002046472466173,0,2.8100990492673628,1.3471635891618818,0,93.34253271432414]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.08percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.5081170984561698,0,0,0,0,0,98.49188290154382],[0,0,0,5.112672913877733,0.31570727353859884,1.7793395805444,92.79228023203927],[0,2.5002046472466173,0,2.8100990492673628,1.3471635891618818,0,93.34253271432414]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.64percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.5081170984561698,0,0,0,0,0,98.49188290154382],[0,0,0,5.112672913877733,0.31570727353859884,1.7793395805444,92.79228023203927],[0,2.5002046472466173,0,2.8100990492673628,1.3471635891618818,0,93.34253271432414]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11136,991
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 410,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 24,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 136991,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-24-410",
  "name": "SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    4333,
    4334,
    4335,
    4338,
    4339,
    4342,
    4343,
    4344,
    4345,
    4346,
    4347,
    4348,
    4349,
    4350,
    4351,
    4352,
    4353,
    4354,
    4355,
    4356,
    4357,
    4358,
    4359,
    4360,
    4361,
    4362,
    4363,
    4364,
    4365,
    4366,
    4373,
    4376,
    4377,
    4378,
    4379,
    4380,
    4381,
    4382,
    4383,
    4384,
    4385,
    4399,
    4400,
    4401,
    4402,
    4403,
    4404,
    4405,
    4406,
    4407
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA ELENA / SANTA ELENA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-24-410. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.