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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHONE / MANABÍ — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHONE / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-480

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHONE / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-55bbb1fa8862fb97601be9de
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA43.0%
  • MANABITAMENTE19.5%
  • RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7214.7%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA12.4%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA POR EL CAMBIO6.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER)2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN1.4%
Results for event-c49208d62f59e6e6cc6317de
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · LEONARDO RODRIGUEZ1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202333,16843%1Recorded
MANABITAMENTE · FAUSTO COBO1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202315,01419.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · MARLON VERA1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202311,36214.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · NARCISA ALCIVAR ALCIVAR117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,55612.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA POR EL CAMBIO · ITALO COLAMARCO1060ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,2846.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER) · CINDY SOLORZANO ZAMBRANO186ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,6892.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · JORGE LUIS COBEÑA CEDEÑO270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,0691.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6531.9%
  • ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTAS 21 - MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS LISTAS 72 - MOVIMIENTO CAMINEMOS LISTAS 12521.4%
  • ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 1714.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL9.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA9.7%
  • FUERZA.EC3.9%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR2.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE2.7%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION0.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION0.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CAMBIO POSITIVO0.3%
Results for event-a2a0e516a18383b76d6cea2c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · LEONARDO RODRIGUEZ711ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,42431.9%1Recorded
ALIANZA MOVIMIENTO CREO LISTAS 21 - MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS LISTAS 72 - MOVIMIENTO CAMINEMOS LISTAS 125 · RAUL ANDRADE777ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,07021.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17 · ELIZABETH MOLINA ALVAREZ732ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,92114.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · FAUSTO COBO DELGADO170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,8829.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · DEYTON ALCIVAR37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,7999.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · PLACIDO ZAMBRANO146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,7603.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · JUAN MANUEL PLAZARTE143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0512.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE · JORGE LUIS ZAMBRANO CAICEDO41ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,8712.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · EITEL ZAMBRANO152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197381%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · PABLO CAICEDO SALTOS219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195740.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION · ANGELICA LOOR264ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194280.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · EMIR MENDOZA18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20193450.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · JOSE HUMBERTO BELTRON ARAY3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192570.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CAMBIO POSITIVO · RAMON CONFORME CEDEÑO245ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192450.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO AVANZA47.1%
  • PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6523.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO19.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA5.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.8%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD1.1%
  • ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA0.6%
Results for event-73668d1634539daa49718532
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO AVANZA · ALCIVAR ALCIVAR DEYTON EDMUNDO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201433,03447.1%1Recorded
PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · ARTEAGA MUÑOZ KARINA CECILIA13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201416,66423.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · ZAMBRANO ALCIVAR PLACIDO HERLANDO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201413,48319.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · VERA VELEZ DAN HAMED13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,6715.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · CORRAL SANCHEZ BYRON UNIVERSI10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,2671.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · CEDEÑO MENDOZA MAR PACIFICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148531.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD · QUIJANO VERA NAHON ANTONIO13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147991.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA · BERMEO ZAMBRANO EDUARDO RICARDO13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144150.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

2.060–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.533224443234552, oldest_gap=23.323739777163535, previous_gap=10.451218645633485

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,9.66247424145527,0,90.33752575854473],[0,47.066366511839966,0,19.210383837232495,5.230387826632092,0,28.49286182429544]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

66.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,9.66247424145527,0,90.33752575854473],[0,47.066366511839966,0,19.210383837232495,5.230387826632092,0,28.49286182429544]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,9.66247424145527,0,90.33752575854473],[0,47.066366511839966,0,19.210383837232495,5.230387826632092,0,28.49286182429544]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11115,451
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 480,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 13,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 115451,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-480",
  "name": "CHONE / MANABÍ",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    2469,
    2470,
    2518,
    2622,
    2640,
    2644,
    2645,
    2646,
    2671,
    2672,
    2673,
    2674,
    2675,
    2676,
    2677,
    2678,
    2679,
    2680,
    2681,
    2682,
    2683,
    2684,
    2685,
    2686,
    2687,
    2688,
    2705,
    2713,
    2714,
    2715,
    2716,
    2717,
    2727,
    2728,
    2729,
    2767,
    2768,
    2769,
    2770,
    2779,
    2780,
    2781,
    2782,
    2783,
    2784,
    2802,
    2803,
    2804,
    2810,
    2823,
    2826,
    2827
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHONE / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-480. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.