Office briefing
SANTA ANA / MANABÍ — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · SANTA ANA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ · municipal · MayorEC-M-13-470
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SANTA ANA / MANABÍ / MANABÍ
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-0814900769677d9d7d510506
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA35.6%
- RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-7223.1%
- MANABITAMENTE13.3%
- 1-3312.3%
- MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ4.8%
- PARTIDO AVANZA3.4%
- PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE2.3%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN1.0%
- VUELTA LARGA0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN)0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA · GREGORIO MACIAS RUPERTI | 1041ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 10,504 | 35.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| RC - SÍ PODEMOS, LISTAS 5-72 · INGRID BRAVO | 1378ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 6,829 | 23.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MANABITAMENTE · ORLANDO GARCIA | 1079ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,939 | 13.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| 1-33 · SUSANA LOOR | 1387ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,632 | 12.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · ANGELO ROLANDO PROAÑO ZAMBRANO | 157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,425 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · VEIMER GARCIA | 101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,011 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · JORGE JONNY MENDOZA PALMA | 117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 853 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE · JOSE JONNY PRADO ZAMBRANO | 46ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 689 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · MARTHA HEREDIA FERNANDEZ | 270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 288 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VUELTA LARGA · CARLOS XAVIER PARRAGA | 1095ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 203 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO GENTE NUEVA (MGN) · JOHANNA CAMACHO CONSTANTE | 202ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 167 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA25.7%
- MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS21.3%
- ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 6516.4%
- MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL9.6%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES8.6%
- MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO3.3%
- ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 173.0%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA2.7%
- MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL2.2%
- UNIDAD POPULAR2.0%
- FUERZA.EC1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE1.4%
- MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.9%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION0.6%
- UNION ECUATORIANA0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · RAMON MIELES ARTEAGA | 152ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 7,257 | 25.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SI PODEMOS · ROBERT CEVALLOS | 191ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 6,012 | 21.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD MANABITA PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO LISTAS 6 - MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD PRIMERO LISTAS 65 · GREGORIO MACIAS | 711ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 4,638 | 16.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · LUIS JAVIER MIELES CANTOS | 148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,725 | 9.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · HERALDO FRANCO | 22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,431 | 8.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · LAURA MACIAS VELEZ | 219ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 940 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA OPORTUNIDAD Y CAMBIO - MOVIMIENTO MEJOR LISTAS 100 - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS LISTAS 35 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20 - MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO LISTAS 1 - PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANA LISTAS 17 · LUIS ANTONIO PRADO MACIAS | 732ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 845 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · OMAR GARCIA | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 760 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · JIMMY CEVALLOS ZAMBRANO | 170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 624 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POPULAR · OSCAR CEDEÑO MIELES | 143ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 570 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA.EC · GUILLERMO CONTRERAS CHILAN | 146ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 491 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE ACCIÓN CÍVICA DE HOMBRES Y MUJERES POR EL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD, MACHETE · VICTOR CEDEÑO | 41ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 389 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · STALIN MERA BRAVO | 142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 249 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACION · LUZ AMERICA MERA CANTOS | 264ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 169 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION ECUATORIANA · PABLO ALFREDO MORA BERMUDEZ | 51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 143 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-6521.5%
- ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA20.6%
- MOVIMIENTO CREO20.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA18.4%
- MOVIMIENTO SUMA10.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO8.2%
- MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAIS - UNIDAD PRIMERO 35-65 · CEDEÑO ZAMBRANO RAMON FERNANDO | 13011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,890 | 21.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA CIVICA CIUDADANA · CEVALLOS SORNOZA ROBERT IVAN | 13010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,649 | 20.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CREO · FRANCO MARQUEZ HERALDO FLORESMILO | 8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,468 | 20% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · MIELES MOREIRA ANGEL RICARDO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,047 | 18.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SUMA · GARCIA CEDEÑO WASHINGTON OMAR | 13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,915 | 10.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · MIELES MOREIRA RAMON HERNAN | 10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,252 | 8.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE ACCION CIVICA HUMANISTA POR LA ETICA EL TRABAJO I EQUIDAD · FORTIS SOLORZANO ANGEL RAFAEL | 13002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 136 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI55.620–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.440758293838861, oldest_gap=0.8809445480133036, previous_gap=4.408171936409023
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility11.3percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,3.4224779959377116,0,0,0,0,96.57752200406229],[0,0,0,8.607442552136813,2.6909322664022945,0,88.7016251814609],[0,18.448660306320136,0,19.987571736667032,10.655408122235626,0,50.9083598347772]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility37.79percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,3.4224779959377116,0,0,0,0,96.57752200406229],[0,0,0,8.607442552136813,2.6909322664022945,0,88.7016251814609],[0,18.448660306320136,0,19.987571736667032,10.655408122235626,0,50.9083598347772]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility24.55percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,3.4224779959377116,0,0,0,0,96.57752200406229],[0,0,0,8.607442552136813,2.6909322664022945,0,88.7016251814609],[0,18.448660306320136,0,19.987571736667032,10.655408122235626,0,50.9083598347772]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 45,891 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 470,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 13,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 45891,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-13-470",
"name": "SANTA ANA / MANABÍ",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2450,
2514,
2616,
2630,
2631,
2632,
2641,
2647,
2650,
2651,
2652,
2653,
2654,
2655,
2656,
2657,
2732,
2785
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA ANA / MANABÍ — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-13-470. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.