Office briefing
CALVAS / LOJA — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Ecuador · CALVAS / LOJA / LOJA · municipal · MayorEC-M-11-320
Read the complete original research briefing
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CALVAS / LOJA / LOJA
- Next election
- 2026-11-29
- Linked upcoming event
- next-3b346dbb957cb41fe659881c
- Registry qualification
- Qualified in source register
2. How certain is that date?
2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-02-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA POR CALVAS27.0%
- SOMOS EL CAMBIO23.0%
- CALVAS RENACE20.5%
- JUNTOS POR LOJA17.8%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA10.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA POR CALVAS · JORGE MONTERO RODRIGUEZ | 1254ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 4,383 | 27% | 1 | Recorded |
| SOMOS EL CAMBIO · JOSE SARANGO JIMA | 1442ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,741 | 23% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CALVAS RENACE · FERNANDO CUEVA CARRION | 1265ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 3,328 | 20.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR LOJA · EDWIN PATRICIO LIMA CELI | 1129ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 2,882 | 17.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JOSE FABIAN CASTILLO GONZALEZ | 207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 1,694 | 10.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · MARIA BRAVO QUEZADA | 39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023 | 204 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-03-24
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA18.5%
- CENTRO DEMOCRATICO17.9%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA17.5%
- ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO16.4%
- MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION10.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA9.2%
- MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO LIBERTAD, INTEGRACIÓN Y DEMOCRACIA4.0%
- ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA3.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · ALEX PADILLA | 13ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,991 | 18.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · PATRICIO LIMA CELI | 145ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,900 | 17.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · JORGE MONTERO RODRIGUEZ | 37ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,831 | 17.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA ÚNETE AL CAMBIO · JOSE ADALBERTO SARANGO JIMA | 635ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 2,649 | 16.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · ALFREDO PAZ TINITANA | 18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,682 | 10.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANAM, APLA · EDILMA JIMENEZ CABRERA | 23ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 1,488 | 9.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO LIBERTAD, INTEGRACIÓN Y DEMOCRACIA · CHARVEL ANTONIO SOTO TORRES | 182ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 651 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA LOJA PROGRESA · RICHARD SOTO | 652ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 629 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ROBER MEJIA | 1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019 | 366 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2014-02-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO33.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS32.1%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA15.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"8.0%
- PARTIDO AVANZA7.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD3.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA CAMINO AL PROGRESO · CUEVA BRAVO MARIO VICENTE | 11012ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,397 | 33.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · GUARNIZO CONDOLO JOSE WILFRIDO | 3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 5,210 | 32.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA POPULAR LATINOAMERICANA · JIMENEZ CABRERA EDILMA PIEDAD | 11005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 2,526 | 15.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · MEJIA TORRES ROBER ALFONSO | 4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,306 | 8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO AVANZA · LOAIZA CAMPOVERDE HOMER ARMANDO | 6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 1,204 | 7.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ACCION REGIONAL POR LA EQUIDAD · CEVALLOS PEÑA SERAPIO REYMUNDO | 11001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014 | 606 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI86.720–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.955150320354857, oldest_gap=1.1508400516954893, previous_gap=0.5621795267807492
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[2.2610737011181814,0,0,0,17.489343300179158,18.47779081979366,61.771792178908996],[0,7.409686749953844,0,0,0,32.06351160071389,60.52680164933226]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility21percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[2.2610737011181814,0,0,0,17.489343300179158,18.47779081979366,61.771792178908996],[0,7.409686749953844,0,0,0,32.06351160071389,60.52680164933226]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[2.2610737011181814,0,0,0,17.489343300179158,18.47779081979366,61.771792178908996],[0,7.409686749953844,0,0,0,32.06351160071389,60.52680164933226]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
Electoral register observations
Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.
| As of | Electors | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 23,021 | Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.{
"call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"cne_canton": 320,
"cne_parish": null,
"cne_province": 11,
"election_date": "2026-11-29",
"electors_august": 23021,
"jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-11-320",
"name": "CALVAS / LOJA",
"office": "Mayor",
"precinct_rows": [
2089,
2090,
2091,
2092,
2093,
2094,
2095,
2096,
2147,
2176
],
"record_type": "official_electoral_register",
"register_pdf_page": 7,
"register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
"snapshot": "2026-08-11",
"source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
} |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Sources
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
- Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CALVAS / LOJA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-11-320. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.