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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-8-560

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-92908bfd6d878b5b47da0407
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO33.2%
  • UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA25.9%
  • ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO13.9%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR8.8%
  • SOMOS ESMERALDAS LISTAS 1 - 238.5%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA5.6%
  • VAMOS ESMERALDAS3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID0.2%
Results for event-1bef35867ee62b1421b453a5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202330,76733.2%5Recorded
UNION POR LA REVOLUCION CIUDADANA1270ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202323,99325.9%2Recorded
ESMERALDAS, ES PRIMERO1178ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202312,92513.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,1738.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS ESMERALDAS LISTAS 1 - 231284ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237,8428.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,2295.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOS ESMERALDAS1337ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,6543.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231730.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • UNIDAD POPULAR25.8%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESISTA18.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO12.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA11.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ8.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL4.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES3.8%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA2.9%
  • FUERZA.EC2.7%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP2.2%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS1.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA0.5%
Results for event-15591de8361b91995976a687
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD POPULAR143ecuador/Sed7b513864/201967,59125.8%4Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESISTA655ecuador/Sed7b513864/201948,63118.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931,61412%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA13ecuador/Sed7b513864/201929,46711.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ198ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,7618.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/201912,4704.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES22ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,8653.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,6112.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,1132.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,0422.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,7842.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20195,7112.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS142ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,6971.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6920.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3760.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS42.9%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO16.4%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO11.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA11.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR ESMERALDAS7.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO6.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO1.8%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.1%
Results for event-3dbf6ec40dd0fbdef74c4db1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014107,48342.9%7Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201441,08016.4%2Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201428,99111.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201428,28311.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR ESMERALDAS8004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201417,5987%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201415,8506.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146,3512.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO8001ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,4661.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143700.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11166,558
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 560,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 8,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 166558,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-8-560",
  "name": "ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1114,
    1115,
    1116,
    1130,
    1132,
    1133,
    1134,
    1135,
    1136,
    1137,
    1138,
    1139,
    1140,
    1141,
    1153,
    1155,
    1156,
    1259,
    1290,
    1297,
    1298,
    1299,
    1300,
    1301,
    1302,
    1303,
    1304,
    1305,
    1306,
    1307,
    1308,
    1309,
    1310,
    1311,
    1312,
    1313,
    1314,
    1315,
    1316,
    1317,
    1318,
    1322,
    1323,
    1336,
    1337
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ESMERALDAS / ESMERALDAS — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-8-560. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.