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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MACHALA / EL ORO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · MACHALA / EL ORO / EL ORO · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-7-350

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MACHALA / EL ORO / EL ORO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-a7c22fb1db6c58acdb008402
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-7733.4%
  • JUNTOS POR MACHALA Y EL ORO21.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMOR, FE Y ESPERANZA, AFE18.9%
  • TODOS SOMOS UNO6.8%
  • SI SE PUEDE3.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.5%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA2.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK2.2%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID1.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.0.4%
Results for event-e7b63f9aadaa61b2a104ca2b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS SEGUIREMOS HACIENDO HISTORIA 5-771250ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202347,17733.4%4Recorded
JUNTOS POR MACHALA Y EL ORO1114ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202329,91721.2%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMOR, FE Y ESPERANZA, AFE184ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202326,69918.9%2Recorded
TODOS SOMOS UNO1441ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,6626.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SI SE PUEDE1456ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,3723.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,3263.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,5942.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,5352.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,1252.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,8192%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,0371.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,7311.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20237500.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUR UNIDO REGIONAL, S.U.R.147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236000.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO25.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL18.0%
  • JUNTOS HAREMOS HISTORIA15.1%
  • MACHALA PARA TODOS10.9%
  • CAMBIO POSITIVO SIII CREO10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR7.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO2.2%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.1%
  • FUERZA.EC1.9%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.4%
Results for event-a59316922466d9b2a8984bf8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019145,02325.4%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019102,45318%2Recorded
JUNTOS HAREMOS HISTORIA624ecuador/Sed7b513864/201986,20115.1%2Recorded
MACHALA PARA TODOS760ecuador/Sed7b513864/201962,24810.9%2Recorded
CAMBIO POSITIVO SIII CREO645ecuador/Sed7b513864/201959,82610.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTONÓMICO REGIONAL, MAR4ecuador/Sed7b513864/201944,3047.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/201912,3282.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,9912.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC146ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,1141.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/201910,1141.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL170ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,4261.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198,2541.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,9931.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO47.7%
  • ALIANZA PAIS-MAR39.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO2.0%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.0%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA1.7%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA1.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"0.7%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL0.3%
Results for event-58bcadc185c4fd7215cede3f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014303,51947.7%6Recorded
ALIANZA PAIS-MAR7007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014251,79539.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201422,5423.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,7492%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,5912%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201410,6151.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20149,3201.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,3291.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,3370.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,1530.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11216,968
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 350,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 7,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 216968,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-7-350",
  "name": "MACHALA / EL ORO",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    878,
    879,
    880,
    881,
    882,
    883,
    884,
    885,
    886,
    887,
    889,
    903,
    905,
    914,
    915,
    916,
    917,
    918,
    919,
    920,
    921,
    922,
    923,
    924,
    925,
    926,
    927,
    928,
    929,
    930,
    931,
    932,
    933,
    934,
    935,
    936,
    937,
    938,
    939,
    940,
    941,
    942,
    943,
    944,
    945,
    946,
    947,
    948,
    949,
    950,
    951,
    952,
    953,
    954,
    955,
    956,
    981,
    983,
    994,
    1029,
    1082,
    1084,
    1085,
    1092
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MACHALA / EL ORO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-7-350. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.