Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA MANÁ / COTOPAXI — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · LA MANÁ / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-5-825

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA MANÁ / COTOPAXI / COTOPAXI
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-d5a3a8d48dd8a336c27134a3
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNIDAD POPULAR SOCIALISTA31.5%
  • FUERZA GUERREROS LAMANENSES23.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA16.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA9.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO9.6%
  • POR LA REFUNDACION8.5%
Results for event-37394af04bb8b6815c1b108d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD POPULAR SOCIALISTA1089ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,92231.5%2Recorded
FUERZA GUERREROS LAMANENSES1357ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,75023.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,68116.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,8149.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,7149.6%1Recorded
POR LA REFUNDACION1485ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,4188.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA CREO-UNION ECUATORIANA-PODEMOS30.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO26.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD POR COTOPAXI10.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL9.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA8.5%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 68.2%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO2.7%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.8%
Results for event-e4478cb529713aaea3e3325d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA CREO-UNION ECUATORIANA-PODEMOS789ecuador/Sed7b513864/201922,81530.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO8ecuador/Sed7b513864/201919,72726.3%2Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR COTOPAXI511ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,62510.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,3169.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,3418.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA 8 - PSC 6506ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,1418.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,0542.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,5692.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,3771.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS29.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO28.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO17.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.6%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO4.6%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA3.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA2.7%
Results for event-2408764250c28cd4ee1e2b19
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201421,32329.1%2Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201421,10928.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201412,60217.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147,0429.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,3684.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,3064.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO ORGANIZACIÓN PROGRESISTA CIUDADANA5004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,4663.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,9982.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1143,103
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 825,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 5,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 43103,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-5-825",
  "name": "LA MANÁ / COTOPAXI",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    642,
    665,
    666,
    667,
    668,
    669,
    670,
    671,
    672,
    673,
    674,
    675,
    702,
    703,
    704,
    705,
    706,
    708
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA MANÁ / COTOPAXI — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-5-825. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.