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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

BELÉN — Syndic and district council — shared ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Costa Rica · BELÉN / GUANACASTE · other · Syndic and district council — shared ballotCR-D-GUANACASTE-CARRILLO-BELEN

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TSE vote books joined to official elected-member declarations where geographic and total checks reconcile. Substitutes retained separately. Subsequent replacements and current officeholder status require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BELÉN / GUANACASTE
Next election
2028-02-06
Linked upcoming event
next-e243027d93959409f3c5c189
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-04

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL30.3%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA26.6%
  • PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICO15.8%
  • UNIÓN GUANACASTECA11.5%
  • PUEBLO SOBERANO6.0%
  • NUESTRO PUEBLO5.2%
  • NUEVA REPÚBLICA4.7%
Results for event-656c771d73042d502382246d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202466830.3%2Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202458826.6%1Recorded
PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202434815.8%1Recorded
UNIÓN GUANACASTECAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202425311.5%1Recorded
PUEBLO SOBERANOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241336%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUESTRO PUEBLOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241145.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPÚBLICAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241034.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2020-02-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL50.2%
  • CANTONAL DE CARRILLO21.5%
  • UNIÓN GUANACASTECA11.3%
  • RESTAURACIÓN NACIONAL7.1%
  • NUEVA REPÚBLICA5.2%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA3.3%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.4%
Results for event-6d558cccf1015d4ad5868267
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,36050.2%4Recorded
CANTONAL DE CARRILLOcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202058321.5%1Recorded
UNIÓN GUANACASTECAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202030511.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RESTAURACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201917.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPÚBLICAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201415.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020903.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020391.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-02-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO40.4%
  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL36.4%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA9.4%
  • ACCIÓN CIUDADANA9.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIO4.2%
  • RENOVACIÓN COSTARRICENSE0.4%
Results for event-ab768ac6d2c71059cf248f54
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161,03440.4%3Recorded
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201693336.4%2Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20162429.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ACCIÓN CIUDADANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20162339.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161084.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RENOVACIÓN COSTARRICENSEcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/2016110.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

44.130–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.6248300860897125, oldest_gap=3.9437719640765323, previous_gap=28.682170542635657

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[30.267331218849115,26.642501132759403,0,0,0,4.666968735840507,0,0,0,0,0,15.768010874490258,22.655188038060714],[50.20302694721299,3.3222591362126246,0,0,7.050572166851237,5.2048726467331115,0,0,0,1.4396456256921373,0,0,32.779623477297896],[36.43108160874658,9.449433814916048,9.098008590394377,0,0,0,4.2171026942600545,0,0,40.37485357282311,0,0,0.4295197188598204]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[30.267331218849115,26.642501132759403,0,0,0,4.666968735840507,0,0,0,0,0,15.768010874490258,22.655188038060714],[50.20302694721299,3.3222591362126246,0,0,7.050572166851237,5.2048726467331115,0,0,0,1.4396456256921373,0,0,32.779623477297896],[36.43108160874658,9.449433814916048,9.098008590394377,0,0,0,4.2171026942600545,0,0,40.37485357282311,0,0,0.4295197188598204]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[30.267331218849115,26.642501132759403,0,0,0,4.666968735840507,0,0,0,0,0,15.768010874490258,22.655188038060714],[50.20302694721299,3.3222591362126246,0,0,7.050572166851237,5.2048726467331115,0,0,0,1.4396456256921373,0,0,32.779623477297896],[36.43108160874658,9.449433814916048,9.098008590394377,0,0,0,4.2171026942600545,0,0,40.37485357282311,0,0,0.4295197188598204]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
TANIA ELENA SERRANO PEÑASINDICATURAS PROPIETARIA2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
KAREL DE JESUS CUBILLO RAMIREZSINDICATURAS SUPLENTE2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ALKIS OVIDIO VARGAS CONTRERASCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
MARITZA EUGENIA MARTINEZ CARMONACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
ADRIANA CRUZ MARCHENACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOprincipal
AHMED DIAZ MARCHENACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024UNIÓN GUANACASTECAprincipal
URIEL CHAVARRIA VIALESCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
YESSICA VANESSA GUTIERREZ GUTIERREZCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
KARINA FERNANDA ORTEGA ARANACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOsubstitute
ESTEBAN ALEXANDER SANTANA AMPIECONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024UNIÓN GUANACASTECAsubstitute
TANIA ELENA SERRANO PEÑASÍNDICOS(AS) PROPIETARIA2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
KAREL DE JESUS CUBILLO RAMIREZSÍNDICOS(AS) SUPLENTE2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ALKIS OVIDIO VARGAS CONTRERASCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
IRMA MARIA MENDOZA MENDOZACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
GERARDO EMEL ONDOY ANGULOCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ELKE PATRICIA OBANDO MARCHENACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020CANTONAL DE CARRILLOprincipal
LUIS DANIEL MENDOZA CARMONACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
NOEMY ALVAREZ VILLARREALCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
AIDER MENDEZ ANGULOCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
JOSE GABRIEL ALVAREZ VIALESCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020CANTONAL DE CARRILLOsubstitute
CARLOS LUIS QUESADA GARCIASÍNDICOS(AS) PROPIETARIO2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
FABIOLA CAROLINA GOMEZ MORASÍNDICOS(AS) SUPLENTE2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
YADIRA CASCANTE MENDOZACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
BERNAL MENDOZA DIAZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
FLORY MARIA CHAVES PERAZACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ANGEL WILBERT ANGULO ANGULOCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ERNESTO TENORIO ALVAREZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
KATHERIN DIAZ ALVAREZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
IRMA MARIA MENDOZA MENDOZACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ALBERT ANGULO ONDOYCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Published province heading correction: {"issue": "Published province heading correction", "year": 2020, "area": "Heredia", "source_id": "S41377daad8", "resolution": "The amendment corrects CARTAGO to HEREDIA in the second table heading. It changes no votes, winners or seats; the original declaration is joined to Heredia."}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “BELÉN — Syndic and district council — shared ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CR-D-GUANACASTE-CARRILLO-BELEN. Sources: costa-rica--url-ae6cfb21525f974d8912a00e, costa-rica--url-9b0bf8940eb485b811da317e, costa-rica--url-f8a1e09c9e89a7e5e9c55114, costa-rica--Sc1df243471, costa-rica--S770bf59e9f, costa-rica--Sfa91292290, costa-rica--S5ff387826e, costa-rica--S79669f3e5d, costa-rica--S1a9ae97aeb.