Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PAVONES — Syndic and district council — shared ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Costa Rica · PAVONES / CARTAGO · other · Syndic and district council — shared ballotCR-D-CARTAGO-TURRIALBA-PAVONES

Read the complete original research briefing

TSE vote books joined to official elected-member declarations where geographic and total checks reconcile. Substitutes retained separately. Subsequent replacements and current officeholder status require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PAVONES / CARTAGO
Next election
2028-02-06
Linked upcoming event
next-aaa145cfb6549afbd935920a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-04

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • NUEVA GENERACIÓN36.8%
  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL28.6%
  • TURRIALBA PRIMERO14.7%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS8.8%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA5.5%
  • ACTUEMOS YA2.7%
  • PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICO2.4%
  • NUEVA REPÚBLICA0.5%
Results for event-5f03358f1d758e20b61cb228
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
NUEVA GENERACIÓNcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202446936.8%1Recorded
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202436428.6%2Recorded
TURRIALBA PRIMEROcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202418714.7%1Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOScosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241128.8%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/2024705.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ACTUEMOS YAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/2024342.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/2024302.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPÚBLICAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202470.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2020-02-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL22.1%
  • ACCIÓN CIUDADANA19.5%
  • NUEVA GENERACIÓN18.3%
  • TURRIALBA PRIMERO16.9%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA12.9%
  • ALIANZA DEMÓCRATA CRISTIANA3.4%
  • NUEVA REPÚBLICA2.6%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS2.1%
  • VERDE ECOLOGISTA2.1%
Results for event-ceea16173f294c2333276d9e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202029122.1%2Recorded
ACCIÓN CIUDADANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202025619.5%1Recorded
NUEVA GENERACIÓNcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202024018.3%1Recorded
TURRIALBA PRIMEROcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202022216.9%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202017012.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA DEMÓCRATA CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020453.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPÚBLICAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020342.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOScosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020282.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VERDE ECOLOGISTAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020282.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-02-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA24.5%
  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL17.8%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO16.8%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO16.4%
  • ACCIÓN CIUDADANA13.4%
  • NUEVA GENERACIÓN11.2%
Results for event-f6b2e291c66a943ad0e37729
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201629524.5%2Recorded
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201621417.8%1Recorded
FRENTE AMPLIOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201620216.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201619816.4%1Recorded
ACCIÓN CIUDADANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201616113.4%1Recorded
NUEVA GENERACIÓNcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201613511.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

67.90–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.248232521602517, oldest_gap=6.721991701244811, previous_gap=2.663622526636228

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[28.59387274155538,5.498821681068343,0,0,0,0.5498821681068342,0,0,0,0,0,2.356637863315004,63.00078554595444],[22.14611872146119,12.937595129375952,19.48249619482496,0,0,2.5875190258751903,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.846270928462715],[17.759336099585063,24.481327800829874,13.360995850622407,16.763485477178424,0,0,0,0,0,16.431535269709542,0,0,11.203319502074688]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[28.59387274155538,5.498821681068343,0,0,0,0.5498821681068342,0,0,0,0,0,2.356637863315004,63.00078554595444],[22.14611872146119,12.937595129375952,19.48249619482496,0,0,2.5875190258751903,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.846270928462715],[17.759336099585063,24.481327800829874,13.360995850622407,16.763485477178424,0,0,0,0,0,16.431535269709542,0,0,11.203319502074688]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[28.59387274155538,5.498821681068343,0,0,0,0.5498821681068342,0,0,0,0,0,2.356637863315004,63.00078554595444],[22.14611872146119,12.937595129375952,19.48249619482496,0,0,2.5875190258751903,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.846270928462715],[17.759336099585063,24.481327800829874,13.360995850622407,16.763485477178424,0,0,0,0,0,16.431535269709542,0,0,11.203319502074688]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
DEIVID EZEQUIEL STELLER ALVARADOSINDICATURAS PROPIETARIO2024NUEVA GENERACIÓNprincipal
SOLANGE MIREYA MADRIZ CHAVESSINDICATURAS SUPLENTE2024NUEVA GENERACIÓNsubstitute
ISRAEL QUIROS PAEZCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ROSI MARY LEANDRO MARINCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
LUIS MONGE GAMBOACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024TURRIALBA PRIMEROprincipal
JOSE LIDIO HERNANDEZ GAMBOACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIAS2024UNIDOS PODEMOSprincipal
MISAEL SEGURA SEGURACONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
YAMILETTE MARIA RIVERA BOCARINOCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
RANDAL ALEXIS ARCE VIQUEZCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024TURRIALBA PRIMEROsubstitute
MELVIN OSCAR ZUMBADO RODRIGUEZCONCEJALÍAS DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2024UNIDOS PODEMOSsubstitute
YAMILETTE MARIA RIVERA BOCARINOSÍNDICOS(AS) PROPIETARIA2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
OSCAR ARAYA NUÑEZSÍNDICOS(AS) SUPLENTE2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ISRAEL QUIROS PAEZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
GERARDO VARGAS CASTROCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020ACCIÓN CIUDADANAprincipal
OSCAR GONZALEZ JIMENEZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020NUEVA GENERACIÓNprincipal
LUIS MONGE GAMBOACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020TURRIALBA PRIMEROprincipal
ROSI MARY LEANDRO MARINCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ANA YALILE AGUILAR SANCHEZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020ACCIÓN CIUDADANAsubstitute
LUIS RODOLFO MORA HERNANDEZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020NUEVA GENERACIÓNsubstitute
GISELLE LOPEZ ARAYACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2020TURRIALBA PRIMEROsubstitute
ELIECER CHAVES SANABRIASÍNDICOS(AS) PROPIETARIO2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
NATALIA REBECA MARIN FUENTESSÍNDICOS(AS) SUPLENTE2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
WALTER SOLANO SAENZCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
HELEN NUÑEZ CALDERONCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
EDWIN ROJAS CAMPOSCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
KAREN MILENA NUÑEZ CALDERONCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAprincipal
EDGAR RODRIGUEZ CARVAJALCONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
GISELLE LOPEZ ARAYACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
SONIA CARRANZA QUESADACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
JONATHAN FABRICIO CORDERO ZAMORACONCEJALES DE DISTRITO SUPLENTES2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAsubstitute

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Published province heading correction: {"issue": "Published province heading correction", "year": 2020, "area": "Heredia", "source_id": "S41377daad8", "resolution": "The amendment corrects CARTAGO to HEREDIA in the second table heading. It changes no votes, winners or seats; the original declaration is joined to Heredia."}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PAVONES — Syndic and district council — shared ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CR-D-CARTAGO-TURRIALBA-PAVONES. Sources: costa-rica--url-ae6cfb21525f974d8912a00e, costa-rica--url-9b0bf8940eb485b811da317e, costa-rica--url-f8a1e09c9e89a7e5e9c55114, costa-rica--Sc1df243471, costa-rica--S532a27c276, costa-rica--Sfa91292290, costa-rica--S2eb65ab6ac, costa-rica--S79669f3e5d, costa-rica--S45740b7ad4.