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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

CARRILLO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Costa Rica · CARRILLO / GUANACASTE · municipal · Municipal councilCR-C-GUANACASTE-CARRILLO

Read the complete original research briefing

TSE vote books joined to official elected-member declarations where geographic and total checks reconcile. Substitutes retained separately. Subsequent replacements and current officeholder status require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CARRILLO / GUANACASTE
Next election
2028-02-06
Linked upcoming event
next-33a89248ff23d47508eabf7c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-04

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL27.8%
  • PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICO27.2%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA14.4%
  • PUEBLO SOBERANO8.6%
  • NUEVA REPÚBLICA6.5%
  • UNIÓN GUANACASTECA6.5%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO5.6%
  • NUESTRO PUEBLO3.5%
Results for event-be2f9008fde65dc60addc953
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20242,65327.8%2Recorded
PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20242,60227.2%2Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241,37214.4%1Recorded
PUEBLO SOBERANOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20248228.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPÚBLICAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20246256.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIÓN GUANACASTECAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20246206.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20245325.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUESTRO PUEBLOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20243333.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2020-02-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL47.1%
  • CANTONAL DE CARRILLO17.8%
  • UNIÓN GUANACASTECA11.3%
  • RESTAURACIÓN NACIONAL9.8%
  • NUEVA REPUBLICA7.9%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA3.9%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.3%
Results for event-63bb06b0a439285643d01c63
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20205,16847.1%3Recorded
CANTONAL DE CARRILLOcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,95417.8%1Recorded
UNIÓN GUANACASTECAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,23611.3%1Recorded
RESTAURACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,0759.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPUBLICAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20208707.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20204233.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20202472.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-02-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL38.8%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO22.6%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA18.0%
  • ACCIÓN CIUDADANA12.6%
  • RENOVACIÓN COSTARRICENSE4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIO3.3%
Results for event-e82260c87afd771a6b429f7c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20164,02138.8%2Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20162,33922.6%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161,86518%1Recorded
ACCIÓN CIUDADANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161,30712.6%1Recorded
RENOVACIÓN COSTARRICENSEcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20164754.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20163443.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

46.340–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.5335286117794737, oldest_gap=16.24963771616269, previous_gap=29.290075640207785

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[27.7539491578617,14.352965791400774,0,0,0,6.538340830630819,0,0,0,5.565435715032954,0,27.220420546082227,18.568887958991525],[47.09742094231295,3.854916613505878,0,0,9.796773899571676,7.928551900118473,0,0,0,2.250979677389957,0,0,29.071356967101064],[38.846488262003675,18.017582842237466,12.626799343058641,0,0,0,3.323350400927447,0,0,22.596850545840983,0,0,4.588928605931794]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[27.7539491578617,14.352965791400774,0,0,0,6.538340830630819,0,0,0,5.565435715032954,0,27.220420546082227,18.568887958991525],[47.09742094231295,3.854916613505878,0,0,9.796773899571676,7.928551900118473,0,0,0,2.250979677389957,0,0,29.071356967101064],[38.846488262003675,18.017582842237466,12.626799343058641,0,0,0,3.323350400927447,0,0,22.596850545840983,0,0,4.588928605931794]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[27.7539491578617,14.352965791400774,0,0,0,6.538340830630819,0,0,0,5.565435715032954,0,27.220420546082227,18.568887958991525],[47.09742094231295,3.854916613505878,0,0,9.796773899571676,7.928551900118473,0,0,0,2.250979677389957,0,0,29.071356967101064],[38.846488262003675,18.017582842237466,12.626799343058641,0,0,0,3.323350400927447,0,0,22.596850545840983,0,0,4.588928605931794]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
JONATHAN ANTONIO BRENES BUSTOSREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
IRIS MARCHENA GUTIERREZREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
JOSE ANDRES CUBILLO GONZALEZREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOprincipal
BLANCA FLOR ORTEGA VIALESREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOprincipal
ALVARO GERARDO ABARCA GUTIERREZREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
RONALD ADRIAN PIZARRO MARINREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ENRIQUETA ABARCA ABARCAREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
GERARDO BENIGNO ORTEGA GUTIERREZREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOsubstitute
MARTA EUGENIA ESPINOZA BORGESREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOsubstitute
GREGORIO ANTONIO ESQUIVEL CHAVESREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
IRIS MARCHENA GUTIERREZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ROBERTO CANALES CANALESREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ANA ISABEL RODRIGUEZ PIZARROREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
CARLOS JOSE ANGULO JIMENEZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020CANTONAL DE CARRILLOprincipal
MARCO VINICIO CONTRERAS LIOSREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020UNIÓN GUANACASTECAprincipal
HELEN PATRICIA MATA RIOSREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
JONATHAN ANTONIO BRENES BUSTOSREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
MAYELA VILLAGRA ANGULOREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
FLOR DE LIS VIQUEZ ALVARADOREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020CANTONAL DE CARRILLOsubstitute
ILIANA SALAS NAVARRETEREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020UNIÓN GUANACASTECAsubstitute
ROBERTO CANALES CANALESREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ENRIQUETA ABARCA ABARCAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
SIGIFREDO RODRIGUEZ MENDEZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
CARLOS ALBERTO CHANTO CANALESREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
MARIO ENRIQUE MENDEZ ORTIZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAprincipal
HELEN PATRICIA MATA RIOSREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ROBERT ANTONIO MIRANDA AMADORREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
FREDDY GOMEZ ALVARADOREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
SONIA IRIS ONDOY SANTANAREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
LUISA DIAZ VIALESREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAsubstitute

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Published province heading correction: {"issue": "Published province heading correction", "year": 2020, "area": "Heredia", "source_id": "S41377daad8", "resolution": "The amendment corrects CARTAGO to HEREDIA in the second table heading. It changes no votes, winners or seats; the original declaration is joined to Heredia."}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CARRILLO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CR-C-GUANACASTE-CARRILLO. Sources: costa-rica--url-ae6cfb21525f974d8912a00e, costa-rica--url-9b0bf8940eb485b811da317e, costa-rica--url-f8a1e09c9e89a7e5e9c55114, costa-rica--Sc1df243471, costa-rica--Sff26e7e948, costa-rica--Sfa91292290, costa-rica--S27ffa9d02e, costa-rica--S79669f3e5d, costa-rica--S8b1b44e150.