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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

BAGACES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Costa Rica · BAGACES / GUANACASTE · municipal · Municipal councilCR-C-GUANACASTE-BAGACES

Read the complete original research briefing

TSE vote books joined to official elected-member declarations where geographic and total checks reconcile. Substitutes retained separately. Subsequent replacements and current officeholder status require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BAGACES / GUANACASTE
Next election
2028-02-06
Linked upcoming event
next-91f319d0089148158af7cf3c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-04

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERAL PROGRESISTA30.9%
  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL21.9%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA18.6%
  • UNIÓN GUANACASTECA17.4%
  • AQUÍ COSTA RICA MANDA7.2%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.6%
  • PUEBLO SOBERANO1.4%
Results for event-5315dbfa4f235e9ccec60662
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERAL PROGRESISTAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241,52030.9%2Recorded
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241,07621.9%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202491618.6%1Recorded
UNIÓN GUANACASTECAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202485917.4%1Recorded
AQUÍ COSTA RICA MANDAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20243537.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20241282.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PUEBLO SOBERANOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/2024711.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2020-02-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA23.6%
  • ACCIÓN CIUDADANA22.8%
  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL17.8%
  • INTEGRACIÓN NACIONAL13.4%
  • RESTAURACIÓN NACIONAL7.4%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS7.3%
  • NUEVA REPUBLICA6.3%
  • UNIÓN GUANACASTECA1.3%
Results for event-00bcaaf77ed6b1012d257432
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,35923.6%2Recorded
ACCIÓN CIUDADANAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,31622.8%1Recorded
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,02517.8%1Recorded
INTEGRACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/202077513.4%1Recorded
RESTAURACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20204277.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOScosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20204237.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPUBLICAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20203666.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIÓN GUANACASTECAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020751.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-02-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL29.4%
  • ACCIÓN CIUDADANA28.4%
  • NUEVA GENERACIÓN16.8%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA10.0%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO9.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIO5.6%
Results for event-c07665960ea7181c0ed0413e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161,40429.4%2Recorded
ACCIÓN CIUDADANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161,35528.4%2Recorded
NUEVA GENERACIÓNcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201680216.8%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201647610%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20164709.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20162665.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.310–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.018890920170627, oldest_gap=1.026608003352191, previous_gap=0.7457509538674998

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[21.85659150924233,18.606540727198862,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.6000406256347754,30.87548242941296,0,26.061344708511072],[17.776621574748525,23.56919875130073,22.82344779743323,0,7.405480402358654,6.347554630593132,0,13.440860215053764,0,0,0,0,8.636836628511967],[29.41546197360151,9.972763461135553,28.38885397024932,0,0,0,5.573014875340457,0,0,9.847056358684267,0,0,16.802849360988898]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[21.85659150924233,18.606540727198862,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.6000406256347754,30.87548242941296,0,26.061344708511072],[17.776621574748525,23.56919875130073,22.82344779743323,0,7.405480402358654,6.347554630593132,0,13.440860215053764,0,0,0,0,8.636836628511967],[29.41546197360151,9.972763461135553,28.38885397024932,0,0,0,5.573014875340457,0,0,9.847056358684267,0,0,16.802849360988898]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[21.85659150924233,18.606540727198862,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.6000406256347754,30.87548242941296,0,26.061344708511072],[17.776621574748525,23.56919875130073,22.82344779743323,0,7.405480402358654,6.347554630593132,0,13.440860215053764,0,0,0,0,8.636836628511967],[29.41546197360151,9.972763461135553,28.38885397024932,0,0,0,5.573014875340457,0,0,9.847056358684267,0,0,16.802849360988898]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
ANGEL ORLANDO VILLEGAS MENDOZAREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERAL PROGRESISTAprincipal
YOJHANNA CHAVES ALVARADOREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERAL PROGRESISTAprincipal
JOSE PABLO ROSALES SANDOVALREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ALEXIS ANTONIO MIRANDA BENITEZREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
ANDREA ALVARADO DIAZREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024UNIÓN GUANACASTECAprincipal
MANUEL ISAIAS MURILLO GUZMANREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024LIBERAL PROGRESISTAsubstitute
HEIDY ORDOÑEZ JIMENEZREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024LIBERAL PROGRESISTAsubstitute
MARCO HERMOGENES PRADO MARENCOREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
CARLOS MARCIANO POTOY BERMUDEZREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
RAQUEL MORALES PORRASREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024UNIÓN GUANACASTECAsubstitute
GISELLE DE JESUS CHAVARRIA CRUZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
JUAN JOSE NUÑEZ CHAVERRIREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
MAIKEL VARGAS ULATEREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020ACCIÓN CIUDADANAprincipal
HANNIA DE LOS ANGELES MOLINA CHEVEZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
JOSE ALFREDO JIMENEZ SANCHEZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020INTEGRACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
AUXY MOISES SIBAJA PEREZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
ESTEFANIA JIMENEZ OCAMPOREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
MARIA ESTER CARRANZA GUTIERREZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020ACCIÓN CIUDADANAsubstitute
LUIS ENOC BARRANTES CUBEROREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
HEIDY ORDOÑEZ JIMENEZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020INTEGRACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
OLGA CHAVES VARGASREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
JOSE ALFREDO JIMENEZ SANCHEZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
CARLA FIORELLA VINCENZI ZUÑIGAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAprincipal
MILTON ANTONIO LEDEZMA ROJASREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAprincipal
EDGARDO ALFREDO ARAGON SOLERAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016NUEVA GENERACIÓNprincipal
LUIS ENOC BARRANTES CUBEROREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
MAYRA MURILLO QUESADAREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
GREIVIN GERARDO ESQUIVEL LORIAREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAsubstitute
MARIA CRISTINA SOLORZANO RODRIGUEZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016ACCIÓN CIUDADANAsubstitute
NATALIA SALAZAR ALVARADOREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016NUEVA GENERACIÓNsubstitute

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Published province heading correction: {"issue": "Published province heading correction", "year": 2020, "area": "Heredia", "source_id": "S41377daad8", "resolution": "The amendment corrects CARTAGO to HEREDIA in the second table heading. It changes no votes, winners or seats; the original declaration is joined to Heredia."}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “BAGACES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CR-C-GUANACASTE-BAGACES. Sources: costa-rica--url-ae6cfb21525f974d8912a00e, costa-rica--url-9b0bf8940eb485b811da317e, costa-rica--url-f8a1e09c9e89a7e5e9c55114, costa-rica--Sc1df243471, costa-rica--Sff26e7e948, costa-rica--Sfa91292290, costa-rica--S27ffa9d02e, costa-rica--S79669f3e5d, costa-rica--S8b1b44e150.