Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUATUSO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Costa Rica · GUATUSO / ALAJUELA · municipal · Municipal councilCR-C-ALAJUELA-GUATUSO

Read the complete original research briefing

TSE vote books joined to official elected-member declarations where geographic and total checks reconcile. Substitutes retained separately. Subsequent replacements and current officeholder status require review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUATUSO / ALAJUELA
Next election
2028-02-06
Linked upcoming event
next-6321336fe2c379511f03374d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-04

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA40.4%
  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL17.3%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO14.4%
  • PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICO14.3%
  • LIBERAL PROGRESISTA11.9%
  • NUEVA REPÚBLICA1.5%
  • NUEVA GENERACIÓN0.2%
Results for event-1f790a69317954b4e860de2a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/20242,32340.4%2Recorded
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202499417.3%1Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202482614.4%1Recorded
PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202482014.3%1Recorded
LIBERAL PROGRESISTAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/202468211.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPÚBLICAcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/2024891.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA GENERACIÓNcosta-rica/Sc1df243471/2024120.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2020-02-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL53.4%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO28.0%
  • RESTAURACIÓN NACIONAL8.8%
  • NUEVA REPUBLICA5.3%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS3.5%
  • INTEGRACIÓN NACIONAL1.0%
Results for event-4eba999c202d72945efd6f4c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20202,86153.4%3Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201,50228%2Recorded
RESTAURACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20204728.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
NUEVA REPUBLICAcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20202835.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PODEMOScosta-rica/Sfa91292290/20201853.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
INTEGRACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/Sfa91292290/2020561%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-02-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • LIBERACIÓN NACIONAL29.0%
  • REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANO20.0%
  • UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANA18.8%
  • NUEVA GENERACIÓN13.6%
  • COALICIÓN UNIDOS POR GUATUSO9.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIO8.9%
Results for event-e9c34237bbea05eb6d776742
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIBERACIÓN NACIONALcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20161,33829%2Recorded
REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201692220%1Recorded
UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201686818.8%1Recorded
NUEVA GENERACIÓNcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/201662813.6%1Recorded
COALICIÓN UNIDOS POR GUATUSOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20164509.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTARIOcosta-rica/S79669f3e5d/20164098.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.129133310128783, oldest_gap=9.014084507042256, previous_gap=25.35920880761336

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

66.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[17.298990602158025,40.42812391228681,0,0,0,1.5489035851026802,0,0,0,14.375217542638357,11.869126348764357,14.270797076226941,0.20884093282283328],[53.386825900354545,0,0,0,8.807613360701623,5.280835976861355,0,1.044971076693413,0,28.027617092741185,0,0,3.452136592647882],[28.992416034669557,18.808234019501626,0,0,0,0,8.86240520043337,0,0,19.9783315276273,0,0,23.35861321776815]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[17.298990602158025,40.42812391228681,0,0,0,1.5489035851026802,0,0,0,14.375217542638357,11.869126348764357,14.270797076226941,0.20884093282283328],[53.386825900354545,0,0,0,8.807613360701623,5.280835976861355,0,1.044971076693413,0,28.027617092741185,0,0,3.452136592647882],[28.992416034669557,18.808234019501626,0,0,0,0,8.86240520043337,0,0,19.9783315276273,0,0,23.35861321776815]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Twelve explicitly named standalone national parties; accent variants normalized. Local parties and coalitions remain Other. No alliance votes are attributed to individual member parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PLN","PUSC","PAC","Frente Amplio","PRN","Nueva Republica","PML","PIN","PASE","PRSC","PLP","PPSD","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[17.298990602158025,40.42812391228681,0,0,0,1.5489035851026802,0,0,0,14.375217542638357,11.869126348764357,14.270797076226941,0.20884093282283328],[53.386825900354545,0,0,0,8.807613360701623,5.280835976861355,0,1.044971076693413,0,28.027617092741185,0,0,3.452136592647882],[28.992416034669557,18.808234019501626,0,0,0,0,8.86240520043337,0,0,19.9783315276273,0,0,23.35861321776815]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
DIDIER MENDOZA ALVARADOREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
XINIA MARIA MORALES NUÑEZREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
ISMAEL TORRES ESPINOZAREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ANA FABIOLA ARAYA MEJIASREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
ARNOLDO JIMENEZ MORAREGIDURÍAS PROPIETARIAS2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOprincipal
CARLOS DIONISIO VEGA AJOYREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
YENDRI TATIANA SANDOVAL ARIASREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
YEUDY ARIAS VIQUEZREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
KRISTEL JULYANA LORIA VILLALOBOSREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
LUIS DENIS CASTRO ALVAREZREGIDURÍAS SUPLENTES2024PROGRESO SOCIAL DEMOCRÁTICOsubstitute
ARELY DEL CARMEN REYES VIGILREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
ALBAN CHAVARRIA MOLINAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
NORMA ELENA GOMEZ SACIDAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
SOCORRO ANGULO MENDEZREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
FRANCINE ESPINOZA SALGUERAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2020REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
VANESSA MEJIAS ARIASREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
VICTOR JULIO PICADO RODRIGUEZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
ANDREA MARCELA SOLANO ULATEREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
SAMARIA CRUZ ESQUIVELREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
GERARDO ALEXANDER VILLALOBOS LEITONREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2020REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
FULVIO VARGAS ZUÑIGAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
MAUREEN CASTRO RIOSREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALprincipal
YADIRA MORA MORAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOprincipal
JACINTO ADOLFO VARGAS MIRANDAREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAprincipal
MARIO ERNESTO HERRA ULATEREGIDORES(AS) PROPIETARIOS(AS)2016NUEVA GENERACIÓNprincipal
HAZEL ANDREA VALVERDE CAMPOSREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
VICTOR JULIO PICADO RODRIGUEZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016LIBERACIÓN NACIONALsubstitute
CARLOS LUIS GUTIERREZ JIMENEZREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016REPUBLICANO SOCIAL CRISTIANOsubstitute
ANA PATRICIA RODRIGUEZ SOTOREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016UNIDAD SOCIAL CRISTIANAsubstitute
FELIX BOLAÑOS PORRASREGIDORES(AS) SUPLENTES2016NUEVA GENERACIÓNsubstitute

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Published province heading correction: {"issue": "Published province heading correction", "year": 2020, "area": "Heredia", "source_id": "S41377daad8", "resolution": "The amendment corrects CARTAGO to HEREDIA in the second table heading. It changes no votes, winners or seats; the original declaration is joined to Heredia."}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “GUATUSO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CR-C-ALAJUELA-GUATUSO. Sources: costa-rica--url-ae6cfb21525f974d8912a00e, costa-rica--url-9b0bf8940eb485b811da317e, costa-rica--url-f8a1e09c9e89a7e5e9c55114, costa-rica--Sc1df243471, costa-rica--S9f25ea0c9f, costa-rica--Sfa91292290, costa-rica--Sf78d58d062, costa-rica--S79669f3e5d, costa-rica--S06946938a3.