Office briefing
Carepa — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Carepa / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05147
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Carepa / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5833331d1d5cd6c1c871097b
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- INDEPENDIENTES27.4%
- CEDE party code 2023000227.1%
- CAREPA SOMOS TODOS17.5%
- ALIANZA POR CAREPA16.4%
- PACTO HISTORICO6.0%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO3.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U2.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDEPENDIENTES · Agapito Murillo Palacios | 20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,607 | 27.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230002 · Guadalupe Herrera Olaya | 20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,529 | 27.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAREPA SOMOS TODOS · Jaime Andres Herrera Molina | 20230207colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4,220 | 17.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR CAREPA · Yised Liliana Bedoya Usuga | 20230059colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,952 | 16.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO · Aida Luz Jimenez Romero | 20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,446 | 6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Domingo Alberto Guzman Gonzalez | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 767 | 3.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Nigela Rodriguez Bermudez | 20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 594 | 2.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO31.1%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO21.7%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAREPA-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "ALCALDIA DE CAREPA"20.9%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE11.7%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE9.0%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA1.6%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES1.3%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.3%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.9%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.4%
- PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jonnan Alexis Cerquera | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 7,231 | 31.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Agapito Murillo Palacios | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,030 | 21.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAREPA-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "ALCALDIA DE CAREPA" · Jaime Andres Herrera Molina | 20190467colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,861 | 20.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Yised Liliana Bedoya Usuga | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,723 | 11.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Aida Luz Jimenez Romero | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,084 | 9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · William Ortiz Palacio | 20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 373 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Marelvis Velasquez Mena | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 299 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Antonio Moreno Palacios | 20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 291 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Gregorio Chavez Lopez | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 209 | 0.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Sergio De Jesus Higuita Vargas | 20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 86 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Ivan Alexander Fajardo Puerta | 20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 37 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAREPA. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO MAIS34.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO20.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U20.4%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI12.9%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO7.8%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.9%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.3%
- UNION PATRIOTICA - UP1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAREPA. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO MAIS · Ovidio De Jesus Ardila Rodas | 20150012colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 7,145 | 34% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jonnan Alexis Cerquera | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 4,325 | 20.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jaime Andres Herrera Molina | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 4,289 | 20.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jorge Andres Vargas Bueno | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,716 | 12.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · William Ortiz Palacio | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,634 | 7.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jainover De Jesus Durango Ochoa | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 404 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Sergio De Jesus Higuita Vargas | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 265 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION PATRIOTICA - UP · Edith Guardia Romaña | 19850001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 226 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI78.10–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.32345013477088713, oldest_gap=13.4260140925538, previous_gap=9.477264898380984
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility72.47percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[3.1805929919137466,0,2.4631971801783124,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.35620982790795],[21.658629004478126,31.13589390285911,0,0.8999311057526697,11.724939717533585,8.973475714777816,0,0,1.2530141233207026,0,24.354116431277987],[0,20.591315939820987,20.419920015235192,1.9234431536850123,1.2616644448676442,0,12.930870310417063,0,0,7.779470577032946,35.09331555894116]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.89percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[3.1805929919137466,0,2.4631971801783124,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.35620982790795],[21.658629004478126,31.13589390285911,0,0.8999311057526697,11.724939717533585,8.973475714777816,0,0,1.2530141233207026,0,24.354116431277987],[0,20.591315939820987,20.419920015235192,1.9234431536850123,1.2616644448676442,0,12.930870310417063,0,0,7.779470577032946,35.09331555894116]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility62.68percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[3.1805929919137466,0,2.4631971801783124,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.35620982790795],[21.658629004478126,31.13589390285911,0,0.8999311057526697,11.724939717533585,8.973475714777816,0,0,1.2530141233207026,0,24.354116431277987],[0,20.591315939820987,20.419920015235192,1.9234431536850123,1.2616644448676442,0,12.930870310417063,0,0,7.779470577032946,35.09331555894116]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Carepa — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05147. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.