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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Bello — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Bello / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05088

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Bello / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-49fbd8bdfe32b6a6815fd63b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • BELLO NOS UNE43.1%
  • BELLO EN SERIO38.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE7.6%
  • INDEPENDIENTES5.0%
  • CEDE party code 202300013.0%
  • CEDE party code 202300021.4%
  • CEDE party code 202300031.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.2%
Results for event-994766ccae2e48d0d672b6e6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
BELLO NOS UNE · Yulieth Lorena Gonzalez Ospina20230161colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202364,02243.1%UnknownRecorded
BELLO EN SERIO · Nestor David Restrepo Bonnett20230160colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202356,63538.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Juan Felipe Restrepo Tamayo20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202311,2267.6%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Hugo Alexander Diaz Marin20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237,4575%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Isabel Daniela Ortega Perez20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,4393%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230002 · Claudia Lorena Castrillon Zuluaga20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,0351.4%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230003 · Santiago Zapata Quiroz20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5621.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jesus Ernesto Zapata Orrego20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236840.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Robinson Andres Alvarez Londoño20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233480.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE36.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE BELLO-ANT. PARTIDO VERDE - MOVIMIENTO MAIS - POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "UNIDOS POR BELLO"22.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO15.5%
  • G.S.C RESCATAR A BELLO UN COMPROMISO DE TODOS7.7%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES4.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U4.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI4.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA2.7%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE1.8%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.6%
Results for event-d0100fcda1731215a8a4b721
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Oscar Andres Perez Muñoz20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201941,36036%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE BELLO-ANT. PARTIDO VERDE - MOVIMIENTO MAIS - POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "UNIDOS POR BELLO" · Juan Felipe Restrepo Tamayo20190458colombia/S67eb704c85/201925,73522.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Hugo Alberto Builes Cuartas18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201917,84515.5%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C RESCATAR A BELLO UN COMPROMISO DE TODOS · William De Jesus Ortega Rojas20190095colombia/S67eb704c85/20198,8187.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Maria Emperatriz Mosquera Rivas20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,3764.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Mauricio Alberto Mejia Ocampo20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,0324.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · German Arturo Rodriguez Serna19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,8694.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Cesar Augusto Gomez Fonnegra20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,1252.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Charly David Cadavid Mora20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,0561.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · John Jairo Henao Rincon20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20196330.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • BELLO CIUDAD DE PROGRESO41.9%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE40.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE11.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI4.8%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.5%
Results for event-2463d0e520490d9fbfe3fd82
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
BELLO CIUDAD DE PROGRESO · Cesar Augusto Suarez Mira20150007colombia/S8164286948/201554,54341.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Oscar Andres Perez Muñoz20130001colombia/S8164286948/201553,25140.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Leon Fredy Muñoz Lopera20090002colombia/S8164286948/201514,32011%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Diego Andres Congote Montoya19910006colombia/S8164286948/20156,2294.8%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Juan Manuel Munera Vasquez20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151,8961.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.160–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.97749447469139, oldest_gap=0.9920223588940331, previous_gap=13.604820242231106

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.4608915961403698,0,0,7.564282248935367,0,0.2344887068082583,0,0,91.74033744811601],[15.5377931022473,0,4.3814051493700426,0,36.01250337399542,0,4.2394796646030874,0,0,0,39.82881870978415],[0,0,0,0,40.887138261196725,10.99517041746328,4.782745567763881,0,1.4557851334853615,0,41.87916062009076]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0.4608915961403698,0,0,7.564282248935367,0,0.2344887068082583,0,0,91.74033744811601],[15.5377931022473,0,4.3814051493700426,0,36.01250337399542,0,4.2394796646030874,0,0,0,39.82881870978415],[0,0,0,0,40.887138261196725,10.99517041746328,4.782745567763881,0,1.4557851334853615,0,41.87916062009076]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0.4608915961403698,0,0,7.564282248935367,0,0.2344887068082583,0,0,91.74033744811601],[15.5377931022473,0,4.3814051493700426,0,36.01250337399542,0,4.2394796646030874,0,0,0,39.82881870978415],[0,0,0,0,40.887138261196725,10.99517041746328,4.782745567763881,0,1.4557851334853615,0,41.87916062009076]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Bello — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05088. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.