Office briefing
ORANGE WALK — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Belize · ORANGE WALK · municipal · MayorBZ-ORANGEWALK-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Council marks cannot be used as ordinary vote shares. Mayor and council have separate histories.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- ORANGE WALK
- Next election
- 2027-03
- Linked upcoming event
- next-ac952e559015d26b7b67d81b
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-03 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2024-03-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- PUP74.5%
- UDP25.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUP | belize/Sec79bde235/2024 | 4,752 | 74.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| UDP | belize/Sec79bde235/2024 | 1,630 | 25.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2021-03-03
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- PUP78.8%
- UDP20.3%
- Affiliation unresolved — SANCHEZ Antonia0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUP | belize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/2021 | 4,521 | 78.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| UDP | belize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/2021 | 1,166 | 20.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation unresolved — SANCHEZ Antonia | belize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/2021 | 53 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2018-03-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- PUP67.0%
- UDP33.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUP | belize/S265de45982/2018 | 5,260 | 67% | 1 | Recorded |
| UDP | belize/S265de45982/2018 | 2,593 | 33% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=48.918834221247266, oldest_gap=33.96154335922577, previous_gap=58.449477351916386
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility5.23percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[74.45941711062363,25.54058288937637,0],[78.7630662020906,20.313588850174217,0.9233449477351916],[66.98077167961289,33.019228320387114,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility12.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[74.45941711062363,25.54058288937637,0],[78.7630662020906,20.313588850174217,0.9233449477351916],[66.98077167961289,33.019228320387114,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.97percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[74.45941711062363,25.54058288937637,0],[78.7630662020906,20.313588850174217,0.9233449477351916],[66.98077167961289,33.019228320387114,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
No open research issues attached to this office.
Sources
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/ORANGE-WALK-TOWN-RESULTS-2024.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/2021-Municipal-Election-Resuls-Final.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Orange-Walk-Town-Results-2018.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: bz_ORANGE-WALK-TOWN-RESULTS-2024.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: bz_2021-Municipal-Election-Resuls-Final.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: bz_Orange-Walk-Town-Results-2018.pdf · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “ORANGE WALK — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BZ-ORANGEWALK-M. Sources: belize--url-cc5bb1bb0b00a06c5e2e3503, belize--url-84c7a4ac059a32c81fb0d365, belize--url-50e7edc130e1f29ff82952be, belize--Sec79bde235, belize--Sfd5f2a8f1e, belize--S265de45982.