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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Roraima — Governor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Brazil · Roraima / RR · regional · GovernorBR-RR-G

Read the complete original research briefing

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation. 2022 election annulled. June 2026 replacement remains unresolved in recovered evidence; The official 2010 first round and runoff are now recovered; selected completed ordinary cycles are 2018, 2014 and 2010. Final judicial disposition of the 2026 replacement is still missing. The 2010 radio case was dismissed by the TSE on 29 November 2011; that report explicitly mentions other pending cases and does not certify an exhaustive litigation review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Roraima / RR
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-166becce3911a59abd45b534
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2018-10-28

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PSL53.3%
  • PSDB46.7%
Results for event-109a947b5c5ad1d7bd6ad2d9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSL · ANTONIO DENARIUMbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018136,61253.3%UnknownRecorded
PSDB · ANCHIETAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018119,48946.7%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-26

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PP54.9%
  • PSB45.1%
Results for event-caf5d2d520cb477b41f630a1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · SUELY CAMPOSbrazil/S2c70216745/2014127,16154.9%UnknownRecorded
PSB · CHICO RODRIGUESbrazil/S2c70216745/2014104,65645.1%UnknownRecorded

2010-10-31

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PSDB50.4%
  • PP49.6%
Results for event-67e7b34c57fa69c64978332e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSDB · JOSE DE ANCHIETA JUNIORbrazil/Sdfc3adb0004c/2010107,46650.4%UnknownRecorded
PP · NEUDO RIBEIRO CAMPOSbrazil/Sdfc3adb0004c/2010105,70749.6%UnknownRecorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2022-10-02 · unknown · Legal certification not established
  • 2026-06-21 · Special · Legal certification not established
  • 2010-10-03 · unknown · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.970–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.686034025638321, oldest_gap=0.8251514028512048, previous_gap=9.708088707903208

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[]

Source-reported control: TRE-RR signed statement confirms Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) as acting governor on 21 June 2026; the 27 August poll report still describes him as acting governor. Later definitive proclamation not verified.. Primary dated acting-officeholder confirmation; subsequent secondary confirmation on 27 August 2026

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

  • Quaest

    other · fieldwork 2026-08-23–2026-08-26

    Poll suggests substantial electoral pressure on the acting administration; no calibrated win probability or resolved certification is inferred.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation. 2022 election annulled. June 2026 replacement remains unresolved in recovered evidence; The official 2010 first round and runoff are now recovered; selected completed ordinary cycles are 2018, 2014 and 2010. Final judicial disposition of the 2026 replacement is still missing. The 2010 radio case was dismissed by the TSE on 29 November 2011; that report explicitly mentions other pending cases and does not certify an exhaustive litigation review. Roraima legal certification, Rio and other specific replacement/current-control cases remain open. Eight municipal replacement tickets are tracked; ordinary municipal renewals are outside the window. Public-vote baselines for Alagoas and Amazonas are supplied separately from their indirect selections. Roraima’s primary 2010 cycle is recovered; the June 2026 proclamation is still unresolved. Rio’s signed 2026 legislative retotalization verifies the imported 2022 votes and seats, with 70 named elected deputies added; later membership and governing-coalition control still need dated verification.

  • unresolved event · open

    Unresolved replacement election: Sub judice votes retained separately; no winner or completed-history status inferred. Need final judicial decision and older 2010 return.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Roraima — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BR-RR-G. Sources: brazil--url-05a4fdd2ffe1f76ae7041a69, brazil--url-580aebec6bb5c27e76b98bb4, brazil--url-ef95aa16df1e62f699a27949, brazil--url-653ade48bf64a7388c4b910b, brazil--url-4b63abc8d63bd1e4596286b8, brazil--S0d7ac4a666, brazil--S2c70216745, brazil--Sdfc3adb0004c, brazil--url-18fa70c939d3d990c1ba8f58, brazil--S5cd0a4c40e, brazil--Sda470800dcfc.