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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Paraná — Governor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Brazil · Paraná / PR · regional · GovernorBR-PR-G

Read the complete original research briefing

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Paraná / PR
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8554efe8f021613f2490b3b7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PSD69.8%
  • PT26.3%
  • PDT2.1%
  • DC0.8%
  • PSOL0.7%
  • PCB0.2%
  • PSTU0.1%
  • PCO0.0%
Results for event-eb20031249c8e1b929a1c065
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSD · CARLOS MASSA RATINHO JUNIORbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20224,243,29269.8%UnknownRecorded
PT · REQUIÃObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20221,598,20426.3%UnknownRecorded
PDT · GOMYDEbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/2022126,9452.1%UnknownRecorded
DC · JONI CORREIAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202250,7290.8%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · PROFESSORA ANGELAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202243,1760.7%UnknownRecorded
PCB · VIVI MOTTAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202213,5770.2%UnknownRecorded
PSTU · PROFESSOR IVANbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20224,5020.1%UnknownRecorded
PCO · ADRIANO TEIXEIRAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20222,0960%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PSD60.0%
  • PP15.5%
  • MDB13.2%
  • PT8.7%
  • PSOL1.1%
  • REDE1.0%
  • PRTB0.3%
  • PSTU0.1%
  • PCO0.1%
Results for event-2b5baa3fea8d696a06ff7124
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSD · RATINHO JUNIORbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/20183,210,71260%UnknownRecorded
PP · CIDA BORGHETTIbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018831,36115.5%UnknownRecorded
MDB · JOÃO ARRUDAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018705,97613.2%UnknownRecorded
PT · DR. ROSINHAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018463,4948.7%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · PROFESSOR PIVAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/201858,5331.1%UnknownRecorded
REDE · PROFESSOR JORGE BERNARDIbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/201853,5661%UnknownRecorded
PRTB · GEONISIO MARINHObrazil/S0d7ac4a666/201818,0210.3%UnknownRecorded
PSTU · PROFESSOR IVAN BERNARDObrazil/S0d7ac4a666/20186,2560.1%UnknownRecorded
PCO · PRISCILA EBARAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/20184,1030.1%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PSDB55.7%
  • PMDB27.6%
  • PT14.9%
  • PRP0.9%
  • PSOL0.6%
  • PTC0.2%
  • PRTB0.1%
  • PSTU0.1%
Results for event-0efc643aa7bb62a372ebd780
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSDB · BETO RICHAbrazil/S2c70216745/20143,301,32255.7%UnknownRecorded
PMDB · REQUIAObrazil/S2c70216745/20141,634,31627.6%UnknownRecorded
PT · GLEISI HOFFMANNbrazil/S2c70216745/2014881,85714.9%UnknownRecorded
PRP · OGIER BUCHIbrazil/S2c70216745/201450,4460.9%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · BERNARDO PILOTTObrazil/S2c70216745/201435,3270.6%UnknownRecorded
PTC · TULIO BANDEIRAbrazil/S2c70216745/201413,7000.2%UnknownRecorded
PRTB · GEONISIO MARINHObrazil/S2c70216745/20147,3030.1%UnknownRecorded
PSTU · RODRIGO TOMAZINIbrazil/S2c70216745/20145,7260.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=43.4867055946046, oldest_gap=28.111413884357784, previous_gap=44.457048195990225

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[]

Source-reported control: Ratinho Júnior (Partido Social Democrático (2011)); Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending; retrieved 12 Sep 2026. Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation. Roraima legal certification, Rio and other specific replacement/current-control cases remain open. Eight municipal replacement tickets are tracked; ordinary municipal renewals are outside the window. Public-vote baselines for Alagoas and Amazonas are supplied separately from their indirect selections. Roraima’s primary 2010 cycle is recovered; the June 2026 proclamation is still unresolved. Rio’s signed 2026 legislative retotalization verifies the imported 2022 votes and seats, with 70 named elected deputies added; later membership and governing-coalition control still need dated verification.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Paraná — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BR-PR-G. Sources: brazil--url-580aebec6bb5c27e76b98bb4, brazil--url-ef95aa16df1e62f699a27949, brazil--url-653ade48bf64a7388c4b910b, brazil--S5cd0a4c40e, brazil--S0d7ac4a666, brazil--S2c70216745.