Office briefing
El Manantial — Rural communal commissioner
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · El Manantial / Tucumán / Lules · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ELMANANTIAL
Read the complete original research briefing
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- El Manantial / Tucumán / Lules
- Next election
- 2027-05-09
- Linked upcoming event
- next-295c266ad15e0f17e4e378ea
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-11
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA23.6%
- FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN20.8%
- PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT11.8%
- PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES8.1%
- CAMBIEMOS4.5%
- FUERZA REPUBLICANA4.3%
- PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL3.8%
- PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA3.2%
- ALIANZA "COMPROMISO PRO TUCUMAN"3.2%
- CIUDADANOS CONTRA LA CORRUPCION2.9%
- MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)2.7%
- CONSTRUCCION CIUDADANA PARA LA INCLUSION1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO ERGISTO1.5%
- PROYECTO TUCUMAN1.4%
- FRENTE RENOVADOR1.2%
- MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR1.1%
- ACCION REGIONAL1.0%
- TUCUMAN INNOVADOR0.8%
- UNIDAD CIUDADANA0.7%
- POLITICA OBRERA0.6%
- PARTIDO TERCERA POSICION P3P0.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION COMUNITARIA (M.I.C.)0.3%
- MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA | 821argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 2,442 | 23.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN | 830argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 2,147 | 20.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT | 966argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 1,220 | 11.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 4argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 837 | 8.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAMBIEMOS | 85argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 469 | 4.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 901argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 444 | 4.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL | 448argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 389 | 3.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA | 184argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 331 | 3.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA "COMPROMISO PRO TUCUMAN" | 833argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 330 | 3.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CIUDADANOS CONTRA LA CORRUPCION | 255argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 302 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO) | 239argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 279 | 2.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CONSTRUCCION CIUDADANA PARA LA INCLUSION | 325argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 176 | 1.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ERGISTO | 277argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 152 | 1.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PROYECTO TUCUMAN | 825argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 146 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE RENOVADOR | 495argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 125 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR | 929argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 114 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 3argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 106 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN INNOVADOR | 493argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 86 | 0.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNIDAD CIUDADANA | 267argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 77 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLITICA OBRERA | 829argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 61 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO TERCERA POSICION P3P | 815argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 48 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION COMUNITARIA (M.I.C.) | 81argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 34 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.) | 660argentina/S15363bd09cc5/2023 | 13 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019-06-09
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN30.7%
- ACCION REGIONAL15.7%
- FUERZA REPUBLICANA8.7%
- VAMOS TUCUMAN8.4%
- HACEMOS TUCUMAN7.0%
- TUCUMAN INNOVADOR6.9%
- CONVICCION Y COMPROMISO4.0%
- PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR3.2%
- PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA2.9%
- JUNTOS PODEMOS2.6%
- PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL2.2%
- COMPROMISO TUCUMAN (EX UNION POR LA LIBERTAD)1.8%
- PARTIDO VERDE ECOLOGICO(EX LA LINEA)1.4%
- CAMINO A LA LEALTAD1.2%
- PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR1.0%
- PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES1.0%
- FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.6%
- MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN | 811argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 2,935 | 30.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 3argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 1,502 | 15.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 901argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 835 | 8.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS TUCUMAN | 813argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 799 | 8.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| HACEMOS TUCUMAN | 812argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 670 | 7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN INNOVADOR | 493argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 657 | 6.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CONVICCION Y COMPROMISO | 463argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 382 | 4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR | 162argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 304 | 3.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA | 354argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 280 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS PODEMOS | 326argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 250 | 2.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL | 808argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 209 | 2.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COMPROMISO TUCUMAN (EX UNION POR LA LIBERTAD) | 220argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 174 | 1.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO VERDE ECOLOGICO(EX LA LINEA) | 185argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 136 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAMINO A LA LEALTAD | 210argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 117 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR | 995argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 100 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 4argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 94 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 816argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 61 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL | 88argentina/S28b4cf7be3ae/2019 | 47 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015-08-23
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- ACCION REGIONAL20.5%
- ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA16.2%
- PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA12.1%
- PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR7.2%
- MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL6.3%
- MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA5.6%
- PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA4.4%
- TUCUMAN PARA TODOS3.9%
- ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)3.8%
- FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO3.6%
- JUNTOS PODEMOS3.0%
- TUCUMAN INNOVADOR2.8%
- TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO2.5%
- FUERZA REPUBLICANA2.5%
- MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)1.7%
- PODEMOS1.6%
- PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.9%
- TERCER MILENIO0.8%
- FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACCION REGIONAL | 3argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 1,825 | 20.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA | 482argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 1,441 | 16.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA | 110argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 1,076 | 12.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR | 995argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 642 | 7.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL | 95argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 558 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA | 391argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 496 | 5.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA | 354argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 389 | 4.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN PARA TODOS | 430argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 350 | 3.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC) | 268argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 336 | 3.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO | 490argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 323 | 3.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS PODEMOS | 326argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 265 | 3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN INNOVADOR | 493argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 251 | 2.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO | 256argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 226 | 2.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 901argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 221 | 2.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO) | 239argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 149 | 1.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | 507argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 146 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 4argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 78 | 0.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TERCER MILENIO | 98argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 75 | 0.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 496argentina/Scf4110f4f802/2015 | 46 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI66.770–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.856312935708754, oldest_gap=4.318002923647814, previous_gap=15.00209380234506
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,2.9313232830820772,0,0,0,0,0,97.06867671691793],[0,0,0,4.374226920049477,0,0,0,0,0,95.62577307995049]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility1.44percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,2.9313232830820772,0,0,0,0,0,97.06867671691793],[0,0,0,4.374226920049477,0,0,0,0,0,95.62577307995049]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,2.9313232830820772,0,0,0,0,0,97.06867671691793],[0,0,0,4.374226920049477,0,0,0,0,0,95.62577307995049]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://electoraltucuman.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/OESTE-LULES-Resultados-Generales.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.justucuman.gov.ar/storage/adjuntos/archivos/posts/687/1561785578.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoraltucuman.gob.ar/images/Resultados2015/sec_oeste-lules-c_el_manantial-comis_comunal.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://electoraltucuman.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/2027_DCTO_CONV_1688_14_MGYJ.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2023_OESTE-LULES-Resultados-Generales.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2023_resolucion_338_validez_elecciones_2023.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc2019_jud_1561785578.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2015_sec_oeste-lules-c_el_manantial-comis_comunal.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc2015_final_report.pdf · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “El Manantial — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ELMANANTIAL. Sources: argentina--url-dc060d4956e530879c685a82, argentina--url-6820aade12822b1e8a776c4d, argentina--url-49917a67454c68377ec97e2e, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--S15363bd09cc5, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S28b4cf7be3ae, argentina--Scf4110f4f802, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.