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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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El Bracho Y El Cevilar — Rural communal commissioner

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El Bracho Y El Cevilar — Rural communal commissioner
Latin America register

Argentina · Tucumán / Cruz Alta

El Bracho Y El Cevilar — Rural communal commissioner

All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.

Election expectation2027-05-09
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 10.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-06-11 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN1,97258.05%—
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA1,06231.26%—
CAMBIEMOS1985.83%—
ACCION REGIONAL581.71%—
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL561.65%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA511.50%—

Result source · PDF pages 9

2019-06-09 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES77525.27%—
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN65021.19%—
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN41913.66%—
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA33110.79%—
JUNTOS PODEMOS2879.36%—
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA1234.01%—
ACCION REGIONAL973.16%—
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL772.51%—
PROYECTO K772.51%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA732.38%—
VAMOS TUCUMAN551.79%—
TERCER MILENIO431.40%—
HACEMOS TUCUMAN371.21%—
JUNTOS Y ORGANIZADOS PARA LA VICTORIA230.75%—
PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR00.00%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

2015-08-23 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA62622.32%—
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN43015.33%—
ACCION REGIONAL41714.87%—
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL2258.02%—
MILITANCIA POPULAR2157.66%—
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA1846.56%—
JUNTOS PODEMOS1374.88%—
VOS, CAMBIO Y ACCION1103.92%—
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES923.28%—
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA672.39%—
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL531.89%—
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL431.53%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA431.53%—
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS411.46%—
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)341.21%—
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO311.11%—
CONVICCION Y COMPROMISO210.75%—
TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO170.61%—
KOLINA130.46%—
PROPUESTA CIUDADANA60.21%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-TU-V-ELBRACHOYELCEVILAR.