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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Bracho Y El Cevilar — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · El Bracho Y El Cevilar / Tucumán / Cruz Alta · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ELBRACHOYELCEVILAR

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Bracho Y El Cevilar / Tucumán / Cruz Alta
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-3dfae72e17334c4904dcc28d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN58.1%
  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA31.3%
  • CAMBIEMOS5.8%
  • ACCION REGIONAL1.7%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.6%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA1.5%
Results for event-f2e631ebb583964c95813d5c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/S8223f0e6f610/20231,97258.1%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/S8223f0e6f610/20231,06231.3%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/S8223f0e6f610/20231985.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S8223f0e6f610/2023581.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/S8223f0e6f610/2023561.6%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S8223f0e6f610/2023511.5%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES25.3%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN21.2%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN13.7%
  • PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA10.8%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS9.4%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA4.0%
  • ACCION REGIONAL3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL2.5%
  • PROYECTO K2.5%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA2.4%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN1.8%
  • TERCER MILENIO1.4%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN1.2%
  • JUNTOS Y ORGANIZADOS PARA LA VICTORIA0.7%
  • PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR0.0%
Results for event-03d7563bb1c2a581af03dc6c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S089e985a6ce1/201977525.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/S089e985a6ce1/201965021.2%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S089e985a6ce1/201941913.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA184argentina/S089e985a6ce1/201933110.8%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS326argentina/S089e985a6ce1/20192879.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA110argentina/S089e985a6ce1/20191234%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019973.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019772.5%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO K278argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019772.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019732.4%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019551.8%UnknownRecorded
TERCER MILENIO98argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019431.4%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019371.2%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS Y ORGANIZADOS PARA LA VICTORIA449argentina/S089e985a6ce1/2019230.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR995argentina/S089e985a6ce1/20190 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA22.3%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN15.3%
  • ACCION REGIONAL14.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL8.0%
  • MILITANCIA POPULAR7.7%
  • PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA6.6%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS4.9%
  • VOS, CAMBIO Y ACCION3.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES3.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA2.4%
  • PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL1.5%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA1.5%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)1.2%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO1.1%
  • CONVICCION Y COMPROMISO0.7%
  • TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO0.6%
  • KOLINA0.5%
  • PROPUESTA CIUDADANA0.2%
Results for event-b733e81e7aecf026ca2cd15c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S658c4b81f81f/201562622.3%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S658c4b81f81f/201543015.3%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S658c4b81f81f/201541714.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/S658c4b81f81f/20152258%UnknownRecorded
MILITANCIA POPULAR338argentina/S658c4b81f81f/20152157.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA184argentina/S658c4b81f81f/20151846.6%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS326argentina/S658c4b81f81f/20151374.9%UnknownRecorded
VOS, CAMBIO Y ACCION445argentina/S658c4b81f81f/20151103.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015923.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA110argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015672.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL448argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015531.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL95argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015431.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015431.5%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015411.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)660argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015341.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015311.1%UnknownRecorded
CONVICCION Y COMPROMISO463argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015210.7%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO256argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015170.6%UnknownRecorded
KOLINA469argentina/S658c4b81f81f/2015130.5%UnknownRecorded
PROPUESTA CIUDADANA969argentina/S658c4b81f81f/201560.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

10.030–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.788342655284076, oldest_gap=6.987522281639928, previous_gap=4.075643951744375

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “El Bracho Y El Cevilar — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ELBRACHOYELCEVILAR. Sources: argentina--url-63a9f16ae7ee1b6cad4df86b, argentina--url-dadaf51cf383d6824d90c2d2, argentina--url-a7a877715035be5e5e60f6b1, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--S8223f0e6f610, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S089e985a6ce1, argentina--S658c4b81f81f, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.