Argentina · Tucumán / Rio Chico
Aguilares — Mayor
All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.
Historical competition
Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.
Provisional imported-series CI: 0.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.
Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.
National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report
National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.
Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4
Electoral event evidence
Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.
2023-06-11 · Election record
Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence
Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN | 16,476 | 60.17% | — | |
| TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA | 8,132 | 29.70% | — | |
| FRENTE "JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO" | 2,081 | 7.60% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL | 307 | 1.12% | — | |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 273 | 1.00% | — | |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD | 115 | 0.42% | — |
Result source · PDF pages 1
2019-06-09 · Election record
Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence
Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN | 17,015 | 68.71% | — | |
| VAMOS TUCUMAN | 2,358 | 9.52% | — | |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 1,529 | 6.17% | — | |
| LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD | 1,371 | 5.54% | — | |
| HACEMOS TUCUMAN | 1,089 | 4.40% | — | |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 725 | 2.93% | — | |
| FRENTE RENOVADOR AUTENTICO | 501 | 2.02% | — | |
| PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR | 94 | 0.38% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 34 | 0.14% | — | |
| CAMINO A LA LEALTAD | 26 | 0.10% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD | 21 | 0.08% | — |
Result source · PDF pages 1
2015-08-23 · Election record
Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence
Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA | 11,997 | 50.48% | — | |
| FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO | 5,999 | 25.24% | — | |
| TUCUMAN PARA TODOS | 2,828 | 11.90% | — | |
| PROD, EDUC, RESTAUR, ORGANIZ. NACIONAL (PERON) | 1,728 | 7.27% | — | |
| AGRUPACION 23 DE NOVIEMBRE | 812 | 3.42% | — | |
| ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC) | 153 | 0.64% | — | |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 124 | 0.52% | — | |
| ALIANZA ALTERNATIVA POPULAR | 76 | 0.32% | — | |
| PARTICIPATIVA | 48 | 0.20% | — |
Result source · PDF pages 1
Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-TU-M-AGUILARES.