Office briefing
Aguilares — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · Aguilares / Tucumán / Rio Chico · municipal · MayorAR-TU-M-AGUILARES
Read the complete original research briefing
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Aguilares / Tucumán / Rio Chico
- Next election
- 2027-05-09
- Linked upcoming event
- next-588113d0cef185dd0845942b
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-11
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN60.2%
- TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA29.7%
- FRENTE "JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO"7.6%
- MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL1.1%
- FUERZA REPUBLICANA1.0%
- FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN | 830argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 16,476 | 60.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA | 821argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 8,132 | 29.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE "JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO" | 831argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 2,081 | 7.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL | 95argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 307 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 901argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 273 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD | 832argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 115 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019-06-09
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN68.7%
- VAMOS TUCUMAN9.5%
- ACCION REGIONAL6.2%
- LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD5.5%
- HACEMOS TUCUMAN4.4%
- FUERZA REPUBLICANA2.9%
- FRENTE RENOVADOR AUTENTICO2.0%
- PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR0.4%
- MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.1%
- CAMINO A LA LEALTAD0.1%
- MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN | 811argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 17,015 | 68.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS TUCUMAN | 813argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 2,358 | 9.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 3argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 1,529 | 6.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD | 76argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 1,371 | 5.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| HACEMOS TUCUMAN | 812argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 1,089 | 4.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 901argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 725 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE RENOVADOR AUTENTICO | 495argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 501 | 2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR | 162argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 94 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 173argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 34 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAMINO A LA LEALTAD | 210argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 26 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD | 806argentina/S7e6b9877b213/2019 | 21 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015-08-23
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA50.5%
- FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO25.2%
- TUCUMAN PARA TODOS11.9%
- PROD, EDUC, RESTAUR, ORGANIZ. NACIONAL (PERON)7.3%
- AGRUPACION 23 DE NOVIEMBRE3.4%
- ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)0.6%
- FUERZA REPUBLICANA0.5%
- ALIANZA ALTERNATIVA POPULAR0.3%
- PARTICIPATIVA0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA | 482argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 11,997 | 50.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO | 490argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 5,999 | 25.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN PARA TODOS | 430argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 2,828 | 11.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PROD, EDUC, RESTAUR, ORGANIZ. NACIONAL (PERON) | 116argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 1,728 | 7.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AGRUPACION 23 DE NOVIEMBRE | 245argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 812 | 3.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC) | 268argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 153 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 901argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 124 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA ALTERNATIVA POPULAR | 491argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 76 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTICIPATIVA | 390argentina/Saac45bbed6cd/2015 | 48 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.47034764826176, oldest_gap=25.238796549547654, previous_gap=59.18911278924202
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13730161935145177,99.86269838064855],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13730161935145177,99.86269838064855],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13730161935145177,99.86269838064855],null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://electoraltucuman.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/OESTE-RIO-CHICO-Resultados-Generales.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.justucuman.gov.ar/storage/adjuntos/archivos/posts/689/1562062279.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoraltucuman.gob.ar/images/Resultados2015/sec_oeste-rio_chico-munic_aguilares-intendente.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://electoraltucuman.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/2027_DCTO_CONV_1688_14_MGYJ.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2023_OESTE-RIO-CHICO-Resultados-Generales.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2023_resolucion_338_validez_elecciones_2023.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc2019_jud_1562062279.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2015_sec_oeste-rio_chico-munic_aguilares-intendente.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc2015_final_report.pdf · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Aguilares — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-M-AGUILARES. Sources: argentina--url-71a44ee475a6c9e45ee84ad5, argentina--url-fa0e8db81cd113408fd38a2a, argentina--url-50d39a7b430587b51a90922b, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--S6bed1d8ddf5a, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S7e6b9877b213, argentina--Saac45bbed6cd, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.