Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Source publication

Buenos Aires — Senate renewal

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

Back to structured office record

Buenos Aires — Senate renewal
Latin America register

Argentina · Buenos Aires

Buenos Aires — Senate renewal

All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.

Election expectation2027
Imported event records5
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report

Half-chamber renewal; different electoral sections vote in alternating years. Votes and contested seats do not describe an election of the whole chamber. Current membership/control and the 2027 call remain unverified.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4, Source 5

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2025-09-07 · Provincial chamber renewal

Coverage: Certified election-board return; extracted votes and contested seats reconciled

Basis: Votes across the sections voting for this chamber in this renewal. Seats are newly elected seats, not the full chamber. Alternating section electorates preclude ordinary same-electorate CI.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA FUERZA PATRIA1,796,07344.95%13
ALIANZA LA LIBERTAD AVANZA1,482,51337.11%8
ALIANZA SOMOS BUENOS AIRES280,0127.01%2
FTE. DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD144,7613.62%0
ALIANZA POTENCIA60,1771.51%0
ALIANZA UNION Y LIBERTAD50,8081.27%0
ALIANZA UNION LIBERAL29,8410.75%0
PARTIDO LIBERTARIO24,9560.62%0
PARTIDO POLITICA OBRERA21,5610.54%0
ALIANZA ES CON VOS ES CON NOSOTROS20,1520.50%0
VALORES REPUBLICANOS18,0930.45%0
MOVIMIENTO AVANZADA SOCIALISTA17,6040.44%0
CONSTRUYENDO PORVENIR16,8190.42%0
PARTIDO FRENTE PATRIOTA FEDERAL14,9270.37%0
PARTIDO TIEMPO DE TODOS11,6510.29%0
ALIANZA NUEVOS AIRES5,4280.14%0

Result source · PDF pages 5, 6, 77, 78, 98, 99, 153

2023-10-22 · Provincial chamber renewal

Coverage: Certified election-board return; extracted votes and contested seats reconciled

Basis: Votes across the sections voting for this chamber in this renewal. Seats are newly elected seats, not the full chamber. Alternating section electorates preclude ordinary same-electorate CI.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
UNION POR LA PATRIA2,250,75347.49%11
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1,155,29524.38%7
LA LIBERTAD AVANZA1,132,64123.90%5
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y TRABAJADORES UNIDAD200,5474.23%0

Result source · PDF pages 1, 29, 45, 46, 116

2021-11-14 · Provincial chamber renewal

Coverage: Certified election-board return; extracted votes and contested seats reconciled

Basis: Votes across the sections voting for this chamber in this renewal. Seats are newly elected seats, not the full chamber. Alternating section electorates preclude ordinary same-electorate CI.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA JUNTOS1,934,57842.62%13
FRENTE DE TODOS1,681,40337.04%10
ALIANZA AVANZA LIBERTAD339,9377.49%0
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES -287,1166.33%0
FRENTE VAMOS CON VOS197,8754.36%0
PARTIDO UNION CELESTE Y BLANCO98,0382.16%0

Result source · PDF pages 3, 4, 67, 87, 139

2019-10-27 · Provincial chamber renewal

Coverage: Certified election-board return; extracted votes and contested seats reconciled

Basis: Votes across the sections voting for this chamber in this renewal. Seats are newly elected seats, not the full chamber. Alternating section electorates preclude ordinary same-electorate CI.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE DE TODOS2,717,38755.06%13
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1,711,36934.67%10
CONSENSO FEDERAL261,3655.30%0
FTE DE IZQ. Y DE TRABAJADORES-UNIDAD170,6163.46%0
FRENTE NOS75,0091.52%0

Result source · PDF pages 1, 29, 45, 46, 116

2015-10-25 · Provincial chamber renewal

Coverage: Certified election-board return; extracted votes and contested seats reconciled

Basis: Votes across the sections voting for this chamber in this renewal. Seats are newly elected seats, not the full chamber. Alternating section electorates preclude ordinary same-electorate CI.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA1,729,62539.10%8
ALIANZA CAMBIEMOS BUENOS AIRES1,516,08934.27%13
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UNA NUEVA ALTERNATIVA824,99318.65%2
AZA. FTE. DE IZQUIERDA Y LOS TRABAJADORES201,8714.56%0
ALIANZA PROGRESISTAS141,8173.21%0
PATRIA GRANDE9,5850.22%0

Result source · PDF pages 1, 29, 45, 46, 116

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-PBA-S.