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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Buenos Aires — Senate renewal

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Buenos Aires / Buenos Aires · regional · Senate renewalAR-PBA-S

Read the complete original research briefing

Half-chamber renewal; different electoral sections vote in alternating years. Votes and contested seats do not describe an election of the whole chamber. Current membership/control and the 2027 call remain unverified.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Buenos Aires / Buenos Aires
Next election
2027
Linked upcoming event
next-ccc255b492b9a009f7fc3101
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027 is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-09-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FUERZA PATRIA45.0%
  • ALIANZA LA LIBERTAD AVANZA37.1%
  • ALIANZA SOMOS BUENOS AIRES7.0%
  • FTE. DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD3.6%
  • ALIANZA POTENCIA1.5%
  • ALIANZA UNION Y LIBERTAD1.3%
  • ALIANZA UNION LIBERAL0.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERTARIO0.6%
  • PARTIDO POLITICA OBRERA0.5%
  • ALIANZA ES CON VOS ES CON NOSOTROS0.5%
  • VALORES REPUBLICANOS0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO AVANZADA SOCIALISTA0.4%
  • CONSTRUYENDO PORVENIR0.4%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE PATRIOTA FEDERAL0.4%
  • PARTIDO TIEMPO DE TODOS0.3%
  • ALIANZA NUEVOS AIRES0.1%
Results for event-faf5b00e56a239a4f97c93f9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FUERZA PATRIA2200argentina/S87c6ebca74/20251,796,07345%13Recorded
ALIANZA LA LIBERTAD AVANZA2206argentina/S87c6ebca74/20251,482,51337.1%8Recorded
ALIANZA SOMOS BUENOS AIRES2204argentina/S87c6ebca74/2025280,0127%2Recorded
FTE. DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD2203argentina/S87c6ebca74/2025144,7613.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POTENCIA2201argentina/S87c6ebca74/202560,1771.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNION Y LIBERTAD2207argentina/S87c6ebca74/202550,8081.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA UNION LIBERAL2208argentina/S87c6ebca74/202529,8410.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERTARIO1006argentina/S87c6ebca74/202524,9560.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLITICA OBRERA974argentina/S87c6ebca74/202521,5610.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA ES CON VOS ES CON NOSOTROS2202argentina/S87c6ebca74/202520,1520.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORES REPUBLICANOS1008argentina/S87c6ebca74/202518,0930.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AVANZADA SOCIALISTA959argentina/S87c6ebca74/202517,6040.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUYENDO PORVENIR1003argentina/S87c6ebca74/202516,8190.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE PATRIOTA FEDERAL963argentina/S87c6ebca74/202514,9270.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO TIEMPO DE TODOS980argentina/S87c6ebca74/202511,6510.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA NUEVOS AIRES2205argentina/S87c6ebca74/20255,4280.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2023-10-22

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNION POR LA PATRIA47.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO24.4%
  • LA LIBERTAD AVANZA23.9%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y TRABAJADORES UNIDAD4.2%
Results for event-d737bb73c545884efee38027
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION POR LA PATRIA134argentina/S4605676e88/20232,250,75347.5%11Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO132argentina/S4605676e88/20231,155,29524.4%7Recorded
LA LIBERTAD AVANZA135argentina/S4605676e88/20231,132,64123.9%5Recorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y TRABAJADORES UNIDAD136argentina/S4605676e88/2023200,5474.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-11-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS42.6%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS37.0%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA LIBERTAD7.5%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES -6.3%
  • FRENTE VAMOS CON VOS4.4%
  • PARTIDO UNION CELESTE Y BLANCO2.2%
Results for event-62fd1d79d7665284e87054ab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS506argentina/S14ff964b9a/20211,934,57842.6%13Recorded
FRENTE DE TODOS507argentina/S14ff964b9a/20211,681,40337%10Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA LIBERTAD503argentina/S14ff964b9a/2021339,9377.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES -504argentina/S14ff964b9a/2021287,1166.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE VAMOS CON VOS508argentina/S14ff964b9a/2021197,8754.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION CELESTE Y BLANCO27argentina/S14ff964b9a/202198,0382.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2015-10-25 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2019-10-27 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Half-chamber renewal; different electoral sections vote in alternating years. Votes and contested seats do not describe an election of the whole chamber. Current membership/control and the 2027 call remain unverified.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Half-chamber renewal; different electoral sections vote in alternating years. Votes and contested seats do not describe an election of the whole chamber. Current membership/control and the 2027 call remain unverified. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Buenos Aires — Senate renewal.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-PBA-S. Sources: argentina--url-42b4c83cbd75c039886e3ca3, argentina--url-1c1f446d53945974d5d8a6a7, argentina--url-5c0c4f6d4dd79dfd8d192697, argentina--url-b833183bb93ac412fb4220a4, argentina--url-1e87b5cd1c663e9bcd454fb0, argentina--S87c6ebca74, argentina--S4605676e88, argentina--S14ff964b9a, argentina--S3470374b4e, argentina--S7e7440bf65.