Office briefing
Buenos Aires — Governor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · Buenos Aires / Buenos Aires · regional · GovernorAR-PBA-G
Read the complete original research briefing
The Junta Electoral governor archive identifies the 2023, 2019 and 2015 completed contests. Current government and polling are not assessed here. The exact 2027 call remains unverified.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Buenos Aires / Buenos Aires
- Next election
- 2027
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8f3ee9c6dc4e6ad018f85561
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027 is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-10-22
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNION POR LA PATRIA44.9%
- JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO26.6%
- LA LIBERTAD AVANZA24.6%
- FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y TRABAJADORES UNIDAD3.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNION POR LA PATRIA · KICILLOF AXEL | 134argentina/Sbaeb2dc0c6/2023 | 4,330,482 | 44.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO | 132argentina/Sbaeb2dc0c6/2023 | 2,563,582 | 26.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LA LIBERTAD AVANZA | 135argentina/Sbaeb2dc0c6/2023 | 2,367,294 | 24.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y TRABAJADORES UNIDAD | 136argentina/Sbaeb2dc0c6/2023 | 373,819 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-10-27
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FRENTE DE TODOS52.4%
- JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO38.3%
- CONSENSO FEDERAL5.1%
- FTE DE IZQ. Y DE TRABAJADORES-UNIDAD2.8%
- FRENTE NOS1.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE DE TODOS · KICILLOF AXEL | 136argentina/S9f2f0cc33d/2019 | 5,274,511 | 52.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO | 135argentina/S9f2f0cc33d/2019 | 3,852,624 | 38.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONSENSO FEDERAL | 137argentina/S9f2f0cc33d/2019 | 513,850 | 5.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FTE DE IZQ. Y DE TRABAJADORES-UNIDAD | 133argentina/S9f2f0cc33d/2019 | 282,830 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FRENTE NOS | 131argentina/S9f2f0cc33d/2019 | 141,249 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-10-25
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- ALIANZA CAMBIEMOS BUENOS AIRES39.4%
- ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA35.3%
- ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UNA NUEVA ALTERNATIVA19.3%
- AZA. FTE. DE IZQUIERDA Y LOS TRABAJADORES3.7%
- ALIANZA PROGRESISTAS2.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA CAMBIEMOS BUENOS AIRES · VIDAL MARIA EUGENIA | 135argentina/S86e6ce945f/2015 | 3,609,312 | 39.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA | 131argentina/S86e6ce945f/2015 | 3,230,789 | 35.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UNA NUEVA ALTERNATIVA | 138argentina/S86e6ce945f/2015 | 1,763,241 | 19.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZA. FTE. DE IZQUIERDA Y LOS TRABAJADORES | 137argentina/S86e6ce945f/2015 | 338,159 | 3.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PROGRESISTAS | 132argentina/S86e6ce945f/2015 | 215,159 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Cleared CI21.730–100 historical closeness
Three imported actual events with complete vote vectors
Comparison status: Actual-event review cleared
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.338012887568127, oldest_gap=4.1338544840586025, previous_gap=14.126954383995965
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Three imported actual events with complete vote vectors
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Three imported actual events with complete vote vectors
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Three imported actual events with complete vote vectors
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Axel Kicillof (Partido Justicialista); Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary verification pending; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Directory coalition: Fuerza Patria. Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary verification pending
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
The Junta Electoral governor archive identifies the 2023, 2019 and 2015 completed contests. Current government and polling are not assessed here. The exact 2027 call remains unverified. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
Open-data copy differs from certified PDF: {"id": "AR-PBA-G", "year": 2015, "issue": "Open-data copy differs from certified PDF", "expected": {"131": 3230576, "132": 215140, "135": 3608131, "137": 338131, "138": 1762839, "133": 0, "1804": 0, "794": 0, "768": 0, "484": 0, "382": 0, "739": 0, "664": 0, "758": 0, "1806": 0, "787": 0, "440": 0, "673": 0, "805": 0, "155": 0, "734": 0, "737": 0, "774": 0, "670": 0, "703": 0, "792": 0, "705": 0, "697": 0, "789": 0, "194": 0, "795": 0, "612": 0}, "actual": {"135": 3609312, "131": 3230789, "138": 1763241, "137": 338159, "132": 215159}, "resolution": "The certified PDF published by the electoral authority is used. The provincial open-data copy is a secondary cross-check and does not override it."}
other · open
Open-data copy differs from certified PDF: {"id": "AR-PBA-G", "year": 2023, "issue": "Open-data copy differs from certified PDF", "expected": {"132": 2557105, "134": 4330482, "135": 2367294, "136": 373819, "642": 0, "944": 0, "942": 0, "298": 0, "951": 0, "948": 0, "297": 0, "903": 0, "921": 0, "962": 0, "2103": 0, "915": 0, "935": 0, "868": 0, "965": 0, "947": 0, "933": 0, "949": 0, "869": 0, "895": 0, "40": 0, "911": 0, "952": 0, "858": 0, "956": 0, "194": 0, "697": 0}, "actual": {"134": 4330482, "132": 2563582, "135": 2367294, "136": 373819}, "resolution": "The certified PDF published by the electoral authority is used. The provincial open-data copy is a secondary cross-check and does not override it."}
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://www.juntaelectoral.gba.gov.ar/resultados/2023gob.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.juntaelectoral.gba.gov.ar/resultados/2019gob.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.juntaelectoral.gba.gov.ar/resultados/2015gob.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Buenos Aires Junta Electoral — certified return ar_pba_gov2023.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Buenos Aires Junta Electoral — certified return ar_pba_gov2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Buenos Aires Junta Electoral — certified return ar_pba_gov2015.pdf · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Buenos Aires — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-PBA-G. Sources: argentina--url-d356368c6da7b00fcb81a13e, argentina--url-d7f31b8bbbe5413ce827a7ab, argentina--url-b9d59547e93aa2acf1665e53, argentina--Sbaeb2dc0c6, argentina--S9f2f0cc33d, argentina--S86e6ce945f.