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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Survey evidence

Polling

National context and local polls, with fieldwork dates, question type, pollster, sample, and methodology. Approval categories are not candidates. Local government-change risk is unassessed unless a calibrated model is supplied.

national · presidential approval

International Republican Institute / CISR

Reported overall government evaluation: 49% positive, 49% negative. This is not party voting intention.

Population: National adult-resident public opinion and government evaluation. Fieldwork 2026-04-09–2026-05-03 · published 2026-07-16. Sample 1,200.

In-person interviews at respondents’ homes; full sampling and weighting details not extracted

National context — not a local forecast and not attached to a municipal office.

No rows.

Dated national opinion context only; no local government-change flag supported Fieldwork ended 128 days before the snapshot. Primary report retrieval was blocked; indexed field dates and a named secondary interpretation support this record. Reported full-sample margin ±3.1 points is not a municipality-level margin. Proposed boundary reform and the 2019 boycott further limit local comparison.