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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MCAL.ESTIGARRIBIA / BOQUERON — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MCAL.ESTIGARRIBIA / BOQUERON / BOQUERON · municipal · Municipal councilPY-17-003-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MCAL.ESTIGARRIBIA / BOQUERON / BOQUERON
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-95e2f788222b1d34c995d050
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MARISCAL ESTIGARRIBIA47.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO39.3%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS7.6%
  • PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY5.6%
Results for event-058df81d7c5a96387324a0ab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR MARISCAL ESTIGARRIBIA · VICTOR MANUEL DIAZ AVALOSJMEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,24147.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUGO ROSAMEL LEZCANO SANCHEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,85439.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213577.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY · JACINTO GONZALEZ GONZALEZPVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212665.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO50.3%
  • ALIANZA TODOS POR MARISCAL ESTIGARRIBIA48.6%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.1%
Results for event-4743b02d088897d226a093a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAUL ORLANDO ISNARDI VERAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,72750.3%6Recorded
ALIANZA TODOS POR MARISCAL ESTIGARRIBIA · ELMER VOGT RATZLAFFATMEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,63348.6%6Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015611.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO41.8%
  • ALIANZA POR MARISCAL ESTIGARRIBIA30.9%
  • FRENTE GUASU17.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD CIUDADANA7.4%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.7%
Results for event-dc92980d5a420f989f513a40
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELADIO RAMON ALCARAZ PEREIRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,00141.8%5Recorded
ALIANZA POR MARISCAL ESTIGARRIBIA · FLORENTINO IBAÑEZ CUEVASAMEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,48130.9%4Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · EMILIANO SERVIN MALDONADOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201082117.2%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO UNIDAD CIUDADANA · LUCIO IRALA FERREIRAMUCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103547.4%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MODESTO CRESENCIO GIMENEZ ORTEGAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101292.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

67.360–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.202628232301826, oldest_gap=10.865022983702463, previous_gap=1.7339974174506594

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[39.29631199660873,0,0,0,7.566765578635015,0,53.13692242475625],[50.3043718871057,0,0,0,0,1.1252536432392548,48.57037446965504],[41.80944421228583,0,0,0,2.695361470956958,17.1541997492687,38.34099456748851]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[39.29631199660873,0,0,0,7.566765578635015,0,53.13692242475625],[50.3043718871057,0,0,0,0,1.1252536432392548,48.57037446965504],[41.80944421228583,0,0,0,2.695361470956958,17.1541997492687,38.34099456748851]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[39.29631199660873,0,0,0,7.566765578635015,0,53.13692242475625],[50.3043718871057,0,0,0,0,1.1252536432392548,48.57037446965504],[41.80944421228583,0,0,0,2.695361470956958,17.1541997492687,38.34099456748851]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MCAL.ESTIGARRIBIA / BOQUERON — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-17-003-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.