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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

FUERTE OLIMPO / ALTO PARAGUAY — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · FUERTE OLIMPO / ALTO PARAGUAY / ALTO PARAGUAY · municipal · MayorPY-16-000-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
FUERTE OLIMPO / ALTO PARAGUAY / ALTO PARAGUAY
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-12aec49793078e848c3e1ccf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO76.5%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL23.5%
Results for event-a526d8e1bb394c4ade767441
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MOISES RECALDE ROLONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,05676.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · NICOLAS EUTIMIO FELTES BAGNOLIPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/202163123.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.0%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO48.0%
Results for event-6ce4c5593f1e3ac068c13083
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO RUBEN CUELLAR IRALAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,12352%1Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO · NICOLAS EUTIMIO FELTES BAGNOLIJPDparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,03748%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO50.6%
  • ALIANZA FUERTE OLIMPO28.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS21.1%
Results for event-5041f6a931cb7328ca98eec6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO RUBEN CUELLAR IRALAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201079350.6%1Recorded
ALIANZA FUERTE OLIMPO · JUAN DOMINGO FIORI FERNANDEZAFOparaguay/S82789e1ede/201044228.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · SEECIL ALCIBIADES GALLAGHER FLEITASUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201033121.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=53.03312244138445, oldest_gap=22.413793103448278, previous_gap=3.981481481481481

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[76.51656122069222,0,23.48343877930778,0,0,0,0],[51.99074074074074,0,0,0,0,0,48.00925925925926],[50.63856960408685,0,0,0,21.136653895274584,0,28.22477650063857]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.14percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[76.51656122069222,0,23.48343877930778,0,0,0,0],[51.99074074074074,0,0,0,0,0,48.00925925925926],[50.63856960408685,0,0,0,21.136653895274584,0,28.22477650063857]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[76.51656122069222,0,23.48343877930778,0,0,0,0],[51.99074074074074,0,0,0,0,0,48.00925925925926],[50.63856960408685,0,0,0,21.136653895274584,0,28.22477650063857]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “FUERTE OLIMPO / ALTO PARAGUAY — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-16-000-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.