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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TTE. ESTEBAN MARTINEZ / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · TTE. ESTEBAN MARTINEZ / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-15-011-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TTE. ESTEBAN MARTINEZ / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-5b43c07005c5f80dbc7d5567
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO45.5%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.4%
Results for event-13f4f18c6e6cb27373eed432
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PRESENTADO DOMINGO MARTINEZ RIVEROSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202140853.1%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HECTOR DANIEL GONZALEZ RAMIREZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202135045.5%6Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021111.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO39.2%
  • PARTIDO UNACE12.2%
Results for event-d153a68fa78a04e8f09b163d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PRESENTADO DOMINGO MARTINEZ RIVEROSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201532248.6%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · PABLO MARIN CESPEDES VEGAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201526039.2%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158112.2%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO52.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS11.0%
Results for event-0a0fdd910a0b5258ceb15702
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN CARLOS MARTINEZ SOLALINDEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201029352.9%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CLARO RUBEN GAMARRA ESPINOLAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201020036.1%3Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MODESTO LUIS CABRERA NOTARIOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106111%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2007-11-19 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

54.950–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.542262678803638, oldest_gap=16.7870036101083, previous_gap=9.35143288084464

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.05591677503251,45.51365409622887,0,0,1.4304291287386215,0,0],[48.56711915535445,39.21568627450981,0,0,12.217194570135746,0,0],[36.101083032490976,52.888086642599276,0,0,11.010830324909747,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.05591677503251,45.51365409622887,0,0,1.4304291287386215,0,0],[48.56711915535445,39.21568627450981,0,0,12.217194570135746,0,0],[36.101083032490976,52.888086642599276,0,0,11.010830324909747,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.05591677503251,45.51365409622887,0,0,1.4304291287386215,0,0],[48.56711915535445,39.21568627450981,0,0,12.217194570135746,0,0],[36.101083032490976,52.888086642599276,0,0,11.010830324909747,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TTE. ESTEBAN MARTINEZ / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-15-011-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.