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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES · municipal · MayorPY-15-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-0a0917c935395abd54d6c32c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA TODOS43.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.8%
Results for event-2cca3b5257b75cc32317760f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR MARTIN GIMENEZ LARRAMENDIAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,22651.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA PARA TODOS · MAURA ROSALIA ROLON DE REGISAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,88843.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CANTIDO VINZCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212084.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PARA TODOS57.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO37.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.6%
Results for event-c713d441dfe92da5cfaf0039
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA TODOS · CECILIO RAMON LOPEZ CORONELAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,54357.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR DANIEL D'ECCLESIIS COHENEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,65037.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FERNANDO ROJAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151182.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ALIXE DOLINDA PALACIOS GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151142.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • FRENTE GUASU38.5%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO28.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO CHAQUEÑO9.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.4%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.2%
Results for event-be34e2db93551f7cb377c156
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE GUASU · ROQUE RAMON ZAVALA BRIZUELAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,24438.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSVALDO RIOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201091628.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE CLARO GONZALEZ ALVAREZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201075823.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO CHAQUEÑO · ARISTIDES SAMANIEGO PIÑANEZMCCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102919%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · HERMINIO CACERESUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010140.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES · REMIGIO ROMERO LOPEZPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201060.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

41.190–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.820453493752893, oldest_gap=10.15794363580056, previous_gap=20.18079096045198

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[51.50393336418325,0,0,0,0,4.812586765386396,43.683479870430354],[37.28813559322034,0,0,0,2.5762711864406778,2.6666666666666665,57.46892655367232],[28.36791576339424,23.474759987612263,0,0,0.43357076494270674,38.5258593991948,9.197894084855992]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[51.50393336418325,0,0,0,0,4.812586765386396,43.683479870430354],[37.28813559322034,0,0,0,2.5762711864406778,2.6666666666666665,57.46892655367232],[28.36791576339424,23.474759987612263,0,0,0.43357076494270674,38.5258593991948,9.197894084855992]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[51.50393336418325,0,0,0,0,4.812586765386396,43.683479870430354],[37.28813559322034,0,0,0,2.5762711864406778,2.6666666666666665,57.46892655367232],[28.36791576339424,23.474759987612263,0,0,0.43357076494270674,38.5258593991948,9.197894084855992]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-15-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.