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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-15-009-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-dc2653ceb5e85b171fd3378c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO50.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA TODOS43.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.9%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.2%
Results for event-b762e7500fc1fa3b330a290d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR MARTIN GIMENEZ LARRAMENDIAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,16650.1%6Recorded
ALIANZA PARA TODOS · MAURA ROSALIA ROLON DE REGISAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,89643.8%6Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CANTIDO VINZCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211693.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021952.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PARA TODOS57.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE1.6%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA1.4%
Results for event-34ef4b4f50d7a88eb70b46c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA TODOS · CECILIO RAMON LOPEZ CORONELAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,50057.4%7Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSCAR DANIEL D'ECCLESIIS COHENEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,57936.3%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FERNANDO ROJAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151483.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ALIXE DOLINDA PALACIOS GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015681.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015601.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • FRENTE GUASU36.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO26.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO23.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO CHAQUEÑO9.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.6%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.4%
Results for event-4e207768f0e9b8153cbec643
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE GUASU · ROQUE RAMON ZAVALA BRIZUELAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,16836.9%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSVALDO RIOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201085226.9%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE CLARO GONZALEZ ALVAREZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201074723.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO CHAQUEÑO · ARISTIDES SAMANIEGO PIÑANEZMCCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103069.7%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · HERMINIO CACERESUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010832.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES · REMIGIO ROMERO LOPEZPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010130.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

44.570–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.24133148404993, oldest_gap=9.971599873777215, previous_gap=21.14810562571757

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.069348127600556,0,0,0,2.196024040684235,3.9066111881645864,43.828016643550626],[36.25717566016073,0,0,0,1.5614236509758899,3.3983926521239955,58.78300803673938],[26.885452824234775,23.572104764910065,0,0,2.619122751656674,36.85705269801199,10.066266961186495]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.069348127600556,0,0,0,2.196024040684235,3.9066111881645864,43.828016643550626],[36.25717566016073,0,0,0,1.5614236509758899,3.3983926521239955,58.78300803673938],[26.885452824234775,23.572104764910065,0,0,2.619122751656674,36.85705269801199,10.066266961186495]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.52percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.069348127600556,0,0,0,2.196024040684235,3.9066111881645864,43.828016643550626],[36.25717566016073,0,0,0,1.5614236509758899,3.3983926521239955,58.78300803673938],[26.885452824234775,23.572104764910065,0,0,2.619122751656674,36.85705269801199,10.066266961186495]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TTE. IRALA FERNANDEZ / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-15-009-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.