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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

NANAWA / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · NANAWA / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-15-005-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
NANAWA / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-ae68c56e7b733db44779247f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO79.0%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR UN NANAWA MEJOR14.0%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD4.1%
  • MOV NANAWA SE MUEVE2.8%
Results for event-1fce768c47fb1c07969605be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CLAUDIO NICOLAS SAMANIEGOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,99379%11Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR UN NANAWA MEJOR · GUSTAVO JAVIER VIVEROS LOPEZAJNparaguay/S82789e1ede/202153214%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUDPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211574.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV NANAWA SE MUEVENSMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211082.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO28.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE22.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO21.3%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU21.2%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL6.1%
Results for event-b2a6ebf3c1723d96c1e9eb78
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JAVIER MARCELINO NUÑEZ MEDINAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201592228.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201572622.6%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MARCOS ANTONIO AMARO LEGUIZAMONPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201568421.3%2Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU · CRISTIAN MARTIN BENITEZ INSFRANPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201567921.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151966.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS36.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO13.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL5.2%
Results for event-7f727c2d2256e2304d7ec5f4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CATALINO AÑAZCOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,49645.5%5Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ANTONIO GOMEZ CACERESUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,19436.3%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALBERTO DANIEL CABRAL VERDEJOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201042613%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101725.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=64.93403693931398, oldest_gap=9.18491484184915, previous_gap=6.111630807608357

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[78.97097625329815,0,0,0,0,0,21.029023746701846],[28.749610227627066,21.328344246959777,6.111630807608357,0,22.63797942001871,0,21.172435297786095],[45.49878345498784,12.956204379562044,0,0,36.31386861313869,0,5.231143552311435]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[78.97097625329815,0,0,0,0,0,21.029023746701846],[28.749610227627066,21.328344246959777,6.111630807608357,0,22.63797942001871,0,21.172435297786095],[45.49878345498784,12.956204379562044,0,0,36.31386861313869,0,5.231143552311435]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[78.97097625329815,0,0,0,0,0,21.029023746701846],[28.749610227627066,21.328344246959777,6.111630807608357,0,22.63797942001871,0,21.172435297786095],[45.49878345498784,12.956204379562044,0,0,36.31386861313869,0,5.231143552311435]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “NANAWA / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-15-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.