Office briefing
FORTIN JOSE FALCON / PDTE. HAYES — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · FORTIN JOSE FALCON / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES · municipal · MayorPY-15-003-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- FORTIN JOSE FALCON / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-c4c21df6b7e45de6705c0ddd
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO83.5%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO16.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DELIA AGUSTINA RAMIREZ MORALES | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,273 | 83.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN ELIO OMAR CAMPOS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 450 | 16.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO59.8%
- ALIANZA PARA TODOS40.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · DELIA AGUSTINA RAMIREZ MORALES | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,288 | 59.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA TODOS · BERNARDO RUBEN CENTURION GALEANO | APTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 865 | 40.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO57.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO40.6%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · RICARDO RAMON CENTURION GALEANO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,017 | 57.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JUAN ELIO OMAR CAMPOS | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 716 | 40.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BERNARDO FRANCISCO CAMPOS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 30 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2004-02-22 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=66.94821887623945, oldest_gap=17.073170731707314, previous_gap=19.647004180213656
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility40.18percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[83.47410943811973,16.525890561880278,0,0,0,0,0],[59.82350209010683,0,0,0,0,0,40.17649790989317],[57.68576290414067,40.61259217243335,0,0,1.7016449234259785,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility42.31percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[83.47410943811973,16.525890561880278,0,0,0,0,0],[59.82350209010683,0,0,0,0,0,40.17649790989317],[57.68576290414067,40.61259217243335,0,0,1.7016449234259785,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility41.25percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[83.47410943811973,16.525890561880278,0,0,0,0,0],[59.82350209010683,0,0,0,0,0,40.17649790989317],[57.68576290414067,40.61259217243335,0,0,1.7016449234259785,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “FORTIN JOSE FALCON / PDTE. HAYES — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-15-003-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.