Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLA HAYES / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · VILLA HAYES / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES · municipal · Municipal councilPY-15-000-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA HAYES / PDTE. HAYES / PDTE. HAYES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-2a2e92dafab24ffbef016125
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO32.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.5%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL8.7%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD5.0%
  • MOV DECISION CIUDADANA Y DEMOCRACIA4.7%
  • PARTIDO HAGAMOS4.6%
  • MOV CIUDADANO POR EL CAMBIO4.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.9%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.7%
  • MOV DE INTEGRACION CIUDADANA2.7%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE ORGULLO CHAQUEÑO2.3%
  • PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE2.2%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA2.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO2.0%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO2.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA1.7%
  • PARTIDO DE LA A1.6%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA0.6%
  • PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY0.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.4%
Results for event-38d081c48a3b971e466c029b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS ALBERTO LOPEZ GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,39032.2%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,47612.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,7258.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUDPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219945%1Recorded
MOV DECISION CIUDADANA Y DEMOCRACIA · FEDERICO GUILLERMO LUIS WUNDERLICH MENKEDECIDEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219424.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO HAGAMOS · RODOLFO ARIEL AYALA PEREIRAPPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219174.6%1Recorded
MOV CIUDADANO POR EL CAMBIOMCCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218704.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20218234.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215692.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215422.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV DE INTEGRACION CIUDADANAMICparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215402.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE ORGULLO CHAQUEÑOMOCHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214592.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL FRENTE PATRIOTICO TEETE · ROBERTO RAMON AVALOSPFPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214462.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA · NANCY VAZQUEZ DOMINGUEZPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214212.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214062%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIOPFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214052%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA · EMILIANO JARA SANABRIAPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213331.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA APDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213171.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211280.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAYPVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021860.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021800.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO19.4%
  • ALIANZA PARA TODOS18.4%
  • PARTIDO DE LA PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO CUIDADANO PARA EL CAMBIO4.5%
  • MOV. INDEPENDIENTE PASION CHAQUEÑA4.3%
  • MOV. DE UNIDAD DE CIUDADANOS CHAQUEÑOS4.0%
  • MOV. INDEPENDIENTE ORGULLO CHAQUEÑO3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A3.8%
  • PARTIDO UNACE3.8%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD3.5%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES3.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO3.1%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU3.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.8%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION CIUDADANA2.5%
  • MOV. INDEP. DECISION CIUDADANA Y DEMOCRACIA2.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DEMOCRATA1.9%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1.9%
  • PARTIDO BLANCO1.8%
  • MOV. INDEPENDIENTE UNIDO CHAQUEÑO1.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA1.1%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA0.9%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA0.9%
Results for event-7cf431e99e970675c5eb32b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS ALBERTO LOPEZ GONZALEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,68119.4%4Recorded
ALIANZA PARA TODOS · ESTEBAN RIOS AYALAAPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,54618.4%4Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA · FLAVIO ANTONIO ACOSTAPPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156284.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CUIDADANO PARA EL CAMBIOMCCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156234.5%1Recorded
MOV. INDEPENDIENTE PASION CHAQUEÑAMIPCHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155954.3%1Recorded
MOV. DE UNIDAD DE CIUDADANOS CHAQUEÑOSMUCCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155594%1Recorded
MOV. INDEPENDIENTE ORGULLO CHAQUEÑOMIOCHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155423.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA AMDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155253.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · ALBERTO GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155233.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUDPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154873.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORESPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154243.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154223.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU · JUAN ALBERTO ROJAS MACEDOPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154143%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · ARNALDO ROMAN PEDROZOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153932.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153872.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION CIUDADANAMICparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153462.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. INDEP. DECISION CIUDADANA Y DEMOCRACIADECIDEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153142.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DEMOCRATAPSDparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152691.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · FRANCISCO TOMAS QUIÑONEZ SANDOVALCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152641.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO BLANCO · MILCIADES LORENZO ULIAMBRE NUÑEZPBparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152441.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. INDEPENDIENTE UNIDO CHAQUEÑOMIUCHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152331.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · RANULFO EDUARDO HELLION CAZALPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151491.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151250.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151200.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO31.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.1%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO8.3%
  • FRENTE GUASU5.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DEMOCRATA5.1%
  • UNIDAD Y SOLIDARIDAD CHAQUEÑA INDEPENDIENTE4.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION COMUNITARIA4.3%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA4.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.8%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL3.5%
  • CIUDADANIA EN ACCION3.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA UN CHACO MEJOR2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PROGRESISTA INDEPENDIENTE1.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA1.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO1.0%
  • ARCO IRIS VILLA HAYENSE DEL BAJO CHACO EN ACCION0.7%
Results for event-30fc5ab083c66281513d8559
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RICARDO NUÑEZ GIMENEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,01231.2%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,45315.1%3Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20108048.3%1Recorded
FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20105465.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DEMOCRATAPSDparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104885.1%1Recorded
UNIDAD Y SOLIDARIDAD CHAQUEÑA INDEPENDIENTEUSCHIparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104594.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION COMUNITARIAMICparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104184.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103954.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MIRIAM ASCENCION SALDAÑA BENITEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103683.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103613.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103353.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CIUDADANIA EN ACCIONCEAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103013.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PARA UN CHACO MEJORACMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102362.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PROGRESISTA INDEPENDIENTEMOPIparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101761.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101221.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101001%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ARCO IRIS VILLA HAYENSE DEL BAJO CHACO EN ACCION · AUGUSTO FLORENTIN VALDEZAIVBCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010660.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

31.350–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.699028637576127, oldest_gap=16.17219917012448, previous_gap=0.9773401867805696

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[32.16065227238412,12.461623634807992,8.681866223765665,2.8637576123609643,2.727867532336806,4.142130957773416,36.96210176657104],[19.40925215376819,0,0,0.8687468326938391,3.7862882791573154,2.8451458770723232,73.09056685730835],[31.244813278008298,15.072614107883817,3.7448132780082988,4.097510373443983,3.8174273858921164,5.66390041493776,36.358921161825734]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[32.16065227238412,12.461623634807992,8.681866223765665,2.8637576123609643,2.727867532336806,4.142130957773416,36.96210176657104],[19.40925215376819,0,0,0.8687468326938391,3.7862882791573154,2.8451458770723232,73.09056685730835],[31.244813278008298,15.072614107883817,3.7448132780082988,4.097510373443983,3.8174273858921164,5.66390041493776,36.358921161825734]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[32.16065227238412,12.461623634807992,8.681866223765665,2.8637576123609643,2.727867532336806,4.142130957773416,36.96210176657104],[19.40925215376819,0,0,0.8687468326938391,3.7862882791573154,2.8451458770723232,73.09056685730835],[31.244813278008298,15.072614107883817,3.7448132780082988,4.097510373443983,3.8174273858921164,5.66390041493776,36.358921161825734]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA HAYES / PDTE. HAYES — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-15-000-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.