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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YBYRAROVANA / CANINDEYU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YBYRAROVANA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-14-018-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YBYRAROVANA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-26c27d3707928e7ba79b133f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO80.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.6%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU6.7%
Results for event-c95d4607ef99f091097b1d81
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CESAR DARIO MACHUCA OVELARANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,58380.8%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202155712.6%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · VERONICA GARCIA DE MATTOCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212966.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO71.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA10.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.9%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.8%
Results for event-c18adb78d04ced4e3673f553
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS FRANCISCO MERELES BEDOYAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,05471.3%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GUILLERMO SUAREZ RECALDEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201535112.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · OMAR AMADO ACOSTA VAZQUEZPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201531010.8%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CARLOS JORGE GAUTO OLMEDOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151424.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015230.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-07-15

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
  • Partido Liberal Radical Auténticounknown
  • Partido Popular Tekojojaunknown
Results for event-6d09c44207823f50ada198ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido ColoradoANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2012UnknownUnknown5Recorded
Partido Liberal Radical AuténticoPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2012UnknownUnknown2Recorded
Partido Popular TekojojaPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2012UnknownUnknown2Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=68.21460775473399, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=59.13194444444444

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.56percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[80.77096483318304,12.556357078449054,0,0,0,6.672678088367899,0],[71.31944444444444,12.1875,0,0,0.7986111111111112,4.930555555555555,10.76388888888889],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[80.77096483318304,12.556357078449054,0,0,0,6.672678088367899,0],[71.31944444444444,12.1875,0,0,0.7986111111111112,4.930555555555555,10.76388888888889],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[80.77096483318304,12.556357078449054,0,0,0,6.672678088367899,0],[71.31944444444444,12.1875,0,0,0.7986111111111112,4.930555555555555,10.76388888888889],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YBYRAROVANA / CANINDEYU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-018-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.