Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLA YGATIMI / CANINDEYU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · VILLA YGATIMI / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-14-015-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA YGATIMI / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-da69d362cb46e680e35b097f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO52.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO39.3%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.4%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS2.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA2.4%
Results for event-12f190d3ff4664ab72eb03e7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MILCIADES CAÑETE LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,12552.5%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO GIMENEZ MARTINEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,34139.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212043.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211452.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211402.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO31.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA13.2%
  • PARTIDO UNACE7.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.0%
Results for event-432b82ea64186131f1cbba87
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · MILCIADES CAÑETE LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,94244.6%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO GIMENEZ MARTINEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,35031%3Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201557613.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · CELSO CABRERA NAVARROUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153077.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · TEODORO PAREDES ORTEGAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151764%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.7%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.7%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA3.9%
Results for event-01a9d1eb390e17cd24a7cda8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JOSE ASUNCION MARTINEZ VELAZQUEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,09048.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · HUGO ALBERTO ESPINOLA ALDERETEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,74240.6%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GREGORIO GARCIA MORELUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102886.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · MAXIMO RAMON CUETO ARCEPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101693.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

36.040–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.165407220822843, oldest_gap=8.113779435765913, previous_gap=13.606067570673407

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.47691015952981,39.311502938706965,0,3.4256926952141056,0,0,4.785894206549118],[44.63341760514824,31.027350034474832,0,0,7.055849230062055,4.045047115605608,13.238336014709262],[40.61552809512707,48.72930753089298,0,0,6.7148519468407555,0,3.9403124271391934]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.47691015952981,39.311502938706965,0,3.4256926952141056,0,0,4.785894206549118],[44.63341760514824,31.027350034474832,0,0,7.055849230062055,4.045047115605608,13.238336014709262],[40.61552809512707,48.72930753089298,0,0,6.7148519468407555,0,3.9403124271391934]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.47691015952981,39.311502938706965,0,3.4256926952141056,0,0,4.785894206549118],[44.63341760514824,31.027350034474832,0,0,7.055849230062055,4.045047115605608,13.238336014709262],[40.61552809512707,48.72930753089298,0,0,6.7148519468407555,0,3.9403124271391934]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA YGATIMI / CANINDEYU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-015-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.