Office briefing
NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · MayorPY-14-011-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-cdfb07df34c8739103336129
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO53.5%
- ALIANZA NUEVA ESPERANZA PARA TODOS45.4%
- PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO JAVIER GODOY AYALA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,919 | 53.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA NUEVA ESPERANZA PARA TODOS · CHRISTIAN RICARDO AGUAYO SCHMIDT | ANEPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 2,477 | 45.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · VIRGILIO CENTURION FLORES | PCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 59 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO63.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO31.8%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.8%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · FRANCISCO VIANCHETO MENDOZA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 3,114 | 63.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FELIX AMADEO ARANDA COUSIRAT | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,548 | 31.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · ADELINO BUZINARO | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 186 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN RAMON GALEANO PAREDES | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 22 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO36.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO27.9%
- PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA22.9%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA9.8%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.7%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.6%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · BENITO RICARDO AGUAYO FERNANDEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 982 | 36.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FELIX AMADEO ARANDA COUSIRAT | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 744 | 27.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · ENO RAULINO MICHELS | PPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 611 | 22.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · FAUSTO CORONEL FERNANDEZ | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 261 | 9.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · GABRIEL LEDESMA | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 44 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · MARIA GLORIA BENITEZ SUAREZ | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 15 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ARNALDO ALVAREZ MIRANDA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 7 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 2000-02-06 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
- 2004-12-19 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
- 2008-12-14 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI22.990–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.10265811182402, oldest_gap=8.933933933933933, previous_gap=32.15605749486653
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility46.49percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.51054078826765,0,0,0,0,0,46.48945921173235],[63.94250513347023,31.786447638603697,0.4517453798767967,3.8193018480492813,0,0,0],[36.86186186186186,27.92792792792793,0,22.935435435435437,0.2627627627627628,0,12.012012012012011]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility31.39percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.51054078826765,0,0,0,0,0,46.48945921173235],[63.94250513347023,31.786447638603697,0.4517453798767967,3.8193018480492813,0,0,0],[36.86186186186186,27.92792792792793,0,22.935435435435437,0.2627627627627628,0,12.012012012012011]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility38.94percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.51054078826765,0,0,0,0,0,46.48945921173235],[63.94250513347023,31.786447638603697,0.4517453798767967,3.8193018480492813,0,0,0],[36.86186186186186,27.92792792792793,0,22.935435435435437,0.2627627627627628,0,12.012012012012011]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-011-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.