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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-14-011-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-6147f6e1e123614fd8b3af41
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.7%
  • ALIANZA NUEVA ESPERANZA PARA TODOS20.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA11.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA7.0%
  • PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY5.1%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL1.7%
Results for event-0bf115b8e2a3ecc5429ce110
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO JAVIER GODOY AYALAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,99754.7%8Recorded
ALIANZA NUEVA ESPERANZA PARA TODOS · CHRISTIAN RICARDO AGUAYO SCHMIDTANEPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,12120.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/202160711.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213827%1Recorded
PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAYPVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212785.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · VIRGILIO CENTURION FLORESPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021931.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA14.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA12.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.0%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO8.8%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE3.5%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU2.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD1.0%
Results for event-339f281af8e14a63c47b3f2a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · FRANCISCO VIANCHETO MENDOZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,80638%6Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · ADELINO BUZINAROPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201566514%2Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201560212.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FELIX AMADEO ARANDA COUSIRATPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201557212%1Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154208.8%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152655.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151673.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHUPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151142.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN RAMON GALEANO PAREDESPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015881.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUDPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015491%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO30.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA28.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA9.4%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA8.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL6.3%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.5%
Results for event-cbe59ce38ce557fd23f05844
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · BENITO RICARDO AGUAYO FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201079530%4Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · ENO RAULINO MICHELSPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/201074628.2%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FELIX AMADEO ARANDA COUSIRATPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201032812.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · MARIA GLORIA BENITEZ SUAREZPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102489.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · FAUSTO CORONEL FERNANDEZPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102178.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · GABRIEL LEDESMAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101686.3%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ARNALDO ALVAREZ MIRANDAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101455.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2000-02-06 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
  • 2004-12-19 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established
  • 2008-12-14 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=34.24607520993064, oldest_gap=1.8511522478277307, previous_gap=24.031171019376583

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.70974808324206,0,0,11.080686381891201,0,0,34.20956553486674],[38.03706823925864,12.047177759056444,1.8534119629317607,14.005897219882055,3.5172704296545914,5.581297388374052,24.95787700084246],[30.034000755572347,12.391386475255006,0,28.182848507744616,5.477899508877975,0,23.913864752550055]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.48percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.70974808324206,0,0,11.080686381891201,0,0,34.20956553486674],[38.03706823925864,12.047177759056444,1.8534119629317607,14.005897219882055,3.5172704296545914,5.581297388374052,24.95787700084246],[30.034000755572347,12.391386475255006,0,28.182848507744616,5.477899508877975,0,23.913864752550055]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.70974808324206,0,0,11.080686381891201,0,0,34.20956553486674],[38.03706823925864,12.047177759056444,1.8534119629317607,14.005897219882055,3.5172704296545914,5.581297388374052,24.95787700084246],[30.034000755572347,12.391386475255006,0,28.182848507744616,5.477899508877975,0,23.913864752550055]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “NUEVA ESPERANZA / CANINDEYU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-011-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.