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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · MayorPY-14-009-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-a9649379fbf9b58e59385d3c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO95.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO5.0%
Results for event-be24fd11b668682ae3525cc2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CRISTOBAL VILLALBA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,59995%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EUGENIO BOBADILLA BAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211885%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO84.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.3%
Results for event-f2cf30e6c63aa88c2b25aa68
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CRISTOBAL VILLALBA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,38284.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EUGENIO BOBADILLA BAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201543015.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO84.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO13.9%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.3%
Results for event-a293fd1f67808227030fa9aa
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ANTONIO VILLALBA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,67984.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DARIA CRISTALDO DE URANPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201027513.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAFAEL BARRIOS RIVEROSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010261.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=90.07129654079748, oldest_gap=70.9090909090909, previous_gap=69.41678520625888

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[95.03564827039874,4.964351729601267,0,0,0,0,0],[84.70839260312944,15.291607396870555,0,0,0,0,0],[84.79797979797979,13.88888888888889,0,0,1.3131313131313131,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[95.03564827039874,4.964351729601267,0,0,0,0,0],[84.70839260312944,15.291607396870555,0,0,0,0,0],[84.79797979797979,13.88888888888889,0,0,1.3131313131313131,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[95.03564827039874,4.964351729601267,0,0,0,0,0],[84.70839260312944,15.291607396870555,0,0,0,0,0],[84.79797979797979,13.88888888888889,0,0,1.3131313131313131,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-009-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.