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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-14-009-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-5e332a572035e1af065e441e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO92.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO4.2%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.0%
Results for event-05fd207d128be180d8f250de
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CRISTOBAL VILLALBA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213,59292.8%12Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EUGENIO BOBADILLA BAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211634.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211153%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO69.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO22.2%
  • PARTIDO UNACE7.9%
Results for event-c2fb543156a9d95acc7f3001
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CRISTOBAL VILLALBA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,91269.8%9Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EUGENIO BOBADILLA BAEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201560922.2%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152177.9%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO78.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO12.4%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS7.9%
  • CAMBIO PARA LA PALOMA0.8%
Results for event-d5d168c2c3602aef9065511e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ANTONIO VILLALBA LOPEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,56278.9%10Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · DARIA CRISTALDO DE URANPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201024512.4%1Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · RAFAEL BARRIOS RIVEROSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101567.9%1Recorded
CAMBIO PARA LA PALOMACPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010160.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=88.6046511627907, oldest_gap=66.5487620010106, previous_gap=47.58948137326516

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[92.81653746770026,4.2118863049095605,0,0,2.9715762273901807,0,0],[69.83199415631849,22.242512783053325,0,0,7.925493060628196,0,0],[78.92875189489641,12.379989893885801,0,0,7.88276907529055,0,0.8084891359272359]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[92.81653746770026,4.2118863049095605,0,0,2.9715762273901807,0,0],[69.83199415631849,22.242512783053325,0,0,7.925493060628196,0,0],[78.92875189489641,12.379989893885801,0,0,7.88276907529055,0,0.8084891359272359]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[92.81653746770026,4.2118863049095605,0,0,2.9715762273901807,0,0],[69.83199415631849,22.242512783053325,0,0,7.925493060628196,0,0],[78.92875189489641,12.379989893885801,0,0,7.88276907529055,0,0.8084891359272359]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LA PALOMA / CANINDEYU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-009-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.