Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

FRANCISCO CABALLERO ALVAREZ / CANINDEYU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · FRANCISCO CABALLERO ALVAREZ / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-14-003-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
FRANCISCO CABALLERO ALVAREZ / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-7130896fcaa78865b3b6bc39
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.4%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS14.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO11.5%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A9.5%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA7.5%
Results for event-146f127e4577c447abd6e508
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CLAUDIO GONZALEZ VILLALBAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,19857.4%8Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GILDO SOCOLOSKIUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/202154014.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · OVALDO EMIGDIO CABALLERO GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202144011.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · CLIZENALDO JOSE SILVAPNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213659.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212887.5%1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.7%
  • PARTIDO UNACE22.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA3.4%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD3.3%
Results for event-15e8235d93ce65c39f639e21
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · NESTOR ARIEL ARAUJO GOMEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,44146.2%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ANTONIO RIVAS GIMENEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201577024.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201570022.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151073.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUDPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151033.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS16.6%
Results for event-b23e524e9539618d8a718326
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ALBERTO HOPPE CIANCIOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,07548.6%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · OVALDO EMIGDIO CABALLERO GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201076834.8%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · FULGENCIO MALDONADO PEREZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201036716.6%2Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=43.278517358392065, oldest_gap=13.891402714932127, previous_gap=21.499519384812558

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.52percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[57.374053771861135,11.485251892456278,0,7.517619420516836,14.095536413469068,0,9.527538501696686],[46.17109900672861,24.671579621916052,0,0,22.42870874719641,0,6.728612624158924],[48.64253393665158,34.751131221719454,0,0,16.60633484162896,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[57.374053771861135,11.485251892456278,0,7.517619420516836,14.095536413469068,0,9.527538501696686],[46.17109900672861,24.671579621916052,0,0,22.42870874719641,0,6.728612624158924],[48.64253393665158,34.751131221719454,0,0,16.60633484162896,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[57.374053771861135,11.485251892456278,0,7.517619420516836,14.095536413469068,0,9.527538501696686],[46.17109900672861,24.671579621916052,0,0,22.42870874719641,0,6.728612624158924],[48.64253393665158,34.751131221719454,0,0,16.60633484162896,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “FRANCISCO CABALLERO ALVAREZ / CANINDEYU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-003-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.