Office briefing
SALTO DEL GUAIRA / CANINDEYU — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · SALTO DEL GUAIRA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU · municipal · MayorPY-14-000-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- SALTO DEL GUAIRA / CANINDEYU / CANINDEYU
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-03930fafe8e0a199aecf7ad0
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO54.3%
- MOV LA FUERZA DE LA ESPERANZA33.0%
- MOV JEJUHU PATRIOTICO10.4%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.6%
- PARTIDO HAGAMOS0.4%
- PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · HECTOR FABIAN MORAN SPEJEGYS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 7,044 | 54.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| MOV LA FUERZA DE LA ESPERANZA · CARLOS CESAR HAITTER CABRERA | LAFEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 4,286 | 33% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOV JEJUHU PATRIOTICO · WILSON MARCELINO AYALA | MJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,349 | 10.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CESAR LEGUIZAMON CENTURION | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 209 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO HAGAMOS · ARNALDO BERNARDINO VILLALBA FERNANDEZ | PPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 54 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD · NANCY KARINA LLANO GALLARDO | PJparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 41 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA51.4%
- PARTIDO COLORADO47.5%
- PARTIDO UNACE0.6%
- PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · CARLOS CESAR HAITTER CABRERA | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 5,313 | 51.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · EDUARDO PANIAGUA DUARTE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 4,904 | 47.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · RUFINO OVIEDO ESCOBAR | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 59 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU · CARLOS RUBEN SOSA CHAVEZ | PTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 56 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO57.3%
- ALIANZA SALTOGUAIREÑA PARA LA VICTORIA42.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · EDUARDO PANIAGUA DUARTE | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,140 | 57.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| ALIANZA SALTOGUAIREÑA PARA LA VICTORIA · VICTOR ARIEL RAMIREZ GIRETT | ASPVparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,336 | 42.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI22.990–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.24316413771856, oldest_gap=14.682249817384957, previous_gap=3.958575300038717
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.4percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.2555649695756,0,0,0,0,1.6097974274050681,44.134637603019335],[47.46418892760356,0,0,0,0.5710414246999613,0,51.96476964769648],[57.34112490869248,0,0,0,0,0,42.65887509130752]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.2555649695756,0,0,0,0,1.6097974274050681,44.134637603019335],[47.46418892760356,0,0,0,0.5710414246999613,0,51.96476964769648],[57.34112490869248,0,0,0,0,0,42.65887509130752]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.14percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.2555649695756,0,0,0,0,1.6097974274050681,44.134637603019335],[47.46418892760356,0,0,0,0.5710414246999613,0,51.96476964769648],[57.34112490869248,0,0,0,0,0,42.65887509130752]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “SALTO DEL GUAIRA / CANINDEYU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-14-000-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.