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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAPITAN BADO / AMAMBAY — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAPITAN BADO / AMAMBAY / AMAMBAY · municipal · Municipal councilPY-13-003-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAPITAN BADO / AMAMBAY / AMAMBAY
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-9ac58e5738522ab249e43045
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA4.2%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO2.6%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA1.2%
Results for event-7eb9b7727bca31aab4f43abc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SEVER RODNEY VILLALBA RIOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214,64854.5%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LIZ ADRIANA MARTINEZ FERREIRAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,96034.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · FULGENCIO MENDOZA VALDOVINOPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213594.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212302.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · HUGO GILBERTO BAZAN AYALAPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212262.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADAPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211061.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO55.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO32.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE7.5%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL4.4%
Results for event-04d0009ee5c5b8ca1e49f9ec
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DENILSO SANCHEZ GARCETEANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,88455.6%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE RAUL MARTINEZ FERREIRAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,27732.6%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155227.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153044.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.5%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS13.4%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL7.0%
Results for event-92faea7003e7b758b8c4707a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMFIS ROBERTO GONZALEZ MARTINEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,35443.2%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE RAUL MARTINEZ FERREIRAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,98936.5%5Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSPUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201072813.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103827%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

2.780–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.79130026966819, oldest_gap=6.693563176233269, previous_gap=22.99985687705739

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[54.49642396529487,34.70512369562668,2.6966819087818035,0,0,0,8.101770430296634],[55.58895090883068,32.58909403177329,4.350937455274081,0,7.471017604121941,0,0],[43.16889785439208,36.47533467815881,7.005318173482487,0,13.350449293966625,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.42percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[54.49642396529487,34.70512369562668,2.6966819087818035,0,0,0,8.101770430296634],[55.58895090883068,32.58909403177329,4.350937455274081,0,7.471017604121941,0,0],[43.16889785439208,36.47533467815881,7.005318173482487,0,13.350449293966625,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[54.49642396529487,34.70512369562668,2.6966819087818035,0,0,0,8.101770430296634],[55.58895090883068,32.58909403177329,4.350937455274081,0,7.471017604121941,0,0],[43.16889785439208,36.47533467815881,7.005318173482487,0,13.350449293966625,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAPITAN BADO / AMAMBAY — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-13-003-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.