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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLA OLIVA / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · VILLA OLIVA / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU · municipal · MayorPY-12-027-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA OLIVA / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8ed827023a6a0aba1574c2d7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO70.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO29.8%
Results for event-7837a204ce5cb81eddf87037
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EUSEBIA RAMONA MUSA VDA DE FRANCOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,62270.2%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EVA ALICIA FERNANDEZ LLAMAZARESPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202168929.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.7%
Results for event-9c7b41ce58dc68fbb0d0fb75
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EUSEBIA RAMONA MUSA VDA DE FRANCOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,00851.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GREGORIO ANDRES SOLALINDE OLMEDOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201595548.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO55.3%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.6%
Results for event-8ec7c66a9d7dd9f6acd29024
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EDGARDO JOEL AGUERO PAREDESPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201091355.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · NARCISO HECTOR PAREDES GENESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201072944.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CARLOS MATIAS ACOSTA MONGESUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010100.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=40.37213327563825, oldest_gap=11.13801452784503, previous_gap=2.6999490575649503

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[70.18606663781912,29.813933362180872,0,0,0,0,0],[51.349974528782475,48.650025471217525,0,0,0,0,0],[44.12832929782083,55.26634382566586,0,0,0.6053268765133172,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[70.18606663781912,29.813933362180872,0,0,0,0,0],[51.349974528782475,48.650025471217525,0,0,0,0,0],[44.12832929782083,55.26634382566586,0,0,0.6053268765133172,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[70.18606663781912,29.813933362180872,0,0,0,0,0],[51.349974528782475,48.650025471217525,0,0,0,0,0],[44.12832929782083,55.26634382566586,0,0,0.6053268765133172,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA OLIVA / ÑEEMBUCU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-12-027-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.