Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TACUARAS / ÑEEMBUCU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · TACUARAS / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-12-023-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TACUARAS / ÑEEMBUCU / ÑEEMBUCU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-64eff3e58d00652a89f27fb6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.8%
Results for event-9d85baee440d7be73d48478c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · BENICIO ARIEL SALCEDO CABRALANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202195751.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LORENZO TEOFILO IRUN GARCIAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202186246.5%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021331.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO55.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO20.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU11.8%
  • PARTIDO UNACE11.8%
Results for event-50b03668b999fb70682957d0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · EFREN LOPEZ MERELESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201584555.9%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201531020.5%2Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201517911.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · NANCY ELIZABETH CANO OJEDAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201517811.8%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.0%
  • CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU6.8%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.5%
Results for event-80084365ad463939f251198a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON ISIDRO GHIRINGHELLI MELGAREJOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201059345.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LORENZO TEOFILO IRUN GARCIAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201055843%4Recorded
CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010886.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · PABLO JUSTINO CUENCAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010594.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.190–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.129589632829372, oldest_gap=2.696456086286595, previous_gap=35.383597883597886

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[51.67386609071274,46.54427645788337,0,0,0,1.7818574514038876,0],[55.886243386243386,20.502645502645503,0,0,11.772486772486772,11.838624338624339,0],[45.685670261941446,42.98921417565485,0,0,4.545454545454546,6.779661016949152,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[51.67386609071274,46.54427645788337,0,0,0,1.7818574514038876,0],[55.886243386243386,20.502645502645503,0,0,11.772486772486772,11.838624338624339,0],[45.685670261941446,42.98921417565485,0,0,4.545454545454546,6.779661016949152,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[51.67386609071274,46.54427645788337,0,0,0,1.7818574514038876,0],[55.886243386243386,20.502645502645503,0,0,11.772486772486772,11.838624338624339,0],[45.685670261941446,42.98921417565485,0,0,4.545454545454546,6.779661016949152,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “TACUARAS / ÑEEMBUCU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-12-023-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.